Todays Free Tip as follows:

Horse: Arbalet

Time: 1:50 Yarmouth

Current Odds: 10/11

Race Analysis as follows:

This horse was strongly fancied on his debut, he started slowly that day, but ran a good race to finish second.  He should progress to win today,he has a couple of decent rivals to beat,his trainer Hugo Palmer’s horses have hit form recently, after a fairly quiet start to the season.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Welcome Ben

Race: 2:40 Perth

Current Odds: 7/4

This horse acts at Perth, likes decent ground, which it is at Perth today.  Only 4 in his race, so hopefully his regular rider Craig  Nichol can pop out in front and get some of his rivals to make an error or two, as they have not that much fencing experience.  The best of their form has been over the smaller obstacles.

Update:

Nothing solid today, so no bet for me.

I will post an update around 4:30pm. I was quite keen on a couple of horses at Hamilton today but the ground has changed to good to soft, (soft, in places) so I am watching them run.

Todays free tip as follows:

Horse: New Society

Time: 3:30 Pontefract

Current Odds: 13/2 (each way)

Race Analysis:

This horse was upped in class last time, he ran in a 0-85 Handicap, a big step up from his win over 1m 6f when winning at Redcar in a maiden handicap.  The race today is 0-70, with a few horses running who look to me as the trainers are trying to find an ideal trip for them.  Today’s race over a stiff 1m 4f should pose no problems to my selection, and at a decent price I am backing him each way.  A bit of rain should not inconvenience New Society, as long as it is not a deluge !

No Tip today.

Race to watch:

A couple of horses running that look potentially useful prospects, slight concern is they have not ran for a while.  Valcartier looked very useful when winning his maiden in April, he runs today 2:40 Windsor, this horse could be well handicapped, and the 7/4 he is generally trading at, looks fair.  I will wait and see how the market goes, as a couple of his opponents are dangers, and I hope he may ease in price.

Ride of the weekend:

This has to go to Seamie Heffernan, for his ride yesterday on Capri in the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby.  A very good race with the first three home passing the line together.  Capri rallied to win by a neck, after looking as though he would be passed by both Wings of Eagles and the late closer Cracksman, Seamie never looks flustered when riding, he is very cool.

Ryan Moore had the pick of the Ballydoyle horses in this Group 1 event, with Seamie riding what appeared to be the lesser fancied of Aiden O’Brians more fancied two in the betting, of his five runners in this race, Capri was given an excellent ride to win.  Seamie was seen at his best recently on Idaho when winning a Group 2 race at Ascot, and the Ballydoyle trainers praise was that Seamie is a world class jockey.  Once again the Ballydoyle band wagon rolls on.

Today’s free tip is as follows:

Horse: Don’t Touch

Time: 2:25

Current Odds: 7/2

Analysis of the race as follows:

This horse has won on a Tapeta surface before, it was at Wolverhampton, but has proved he acts on the surface.  He is the highest rated horse in the race, and ran well in Ireland last time over 7f.

The majority of his opponents have yet to prove themselves on an all weather surface, so at 7/2 , I see a bit of value.  Tony Hamilton knows the horse well, he has won on him numerous times before, so that is a plus. I am playing smaller than normal today,  as all weather racing I find slightly more difficult !

Cautious betting on grass at the moment advised, as the rain over the last few days has caused some big priced winners, and they are the most difficult to find!

I do fancy Wings Of Eagles in the Irish Derby today, but the ground is a concern, so I will go smaller with my bet, if backing him, I will watch a few races at the Curragh. And try and assess how soft the ground is, as the Derby is not until 5:20.

Update:

I am not putting a tip up today. The rain, widespread across the country is my concern.  Firnas was the horse I was interested in 8:30 Newmarket, I may have a small interest bet in play, as this horse was fancied last time he ran, he was too fresh that day and tired in the closing stages, he has ran on good to soft ground before, so current going at Newmarket, which is described as good to soft, should be OK.

I advise to half  your bets when not sure that the ground is ideal, especially when backing something you think will win.

I will update blog around 3pm.  Weather concerns around the country with going changes. A horse I am interested in runs tonight, will know more later.

Anyone following the blog please look out for my updates, the horse I advised today on the Update won nicely at Newmarket  Makzeem  4:25 race,  finished up around 4/1 returned.

I wanted to watch a few races before going ahead and backing Makzeem, he won well in the end.  The horse I liked in the 2:10 Newmarket was a fast finishing second, the race was not run to suit him, watch Drochaid, as this horse as he will be winning soon.

Peny Arcade my each way fancy at Newcastle today was virtually pulled up, she has clearly ran well below par, but must have something amiss.  Hopefully nothing too serious wrong with her.

I have been riding out for a local trainer recently, Jan Coomer here in Guernsey.  The majority of training is on the beach, I really enjoy being back in the saddle, and hopefully the horse I have been riding will run in Jersey in just over a week.

Lots of rain around the country, very cautious betting advised, unless all weather gambling or proven form on a soft surface.

Today free tip as follows:

Horse: Peny Arcade

Time: 4:50 Newcastle

Current Odds: 13/2 (each way)

I think this filly is coming into form, she ran well last time on turf, she was beaten no distance at Mussleburgh over 7f.  Today she looks to have a decent chance, I’m backing her each way , hopefully over today’s 1m trip she will improve adequately to run a big race.  My selection has won at the track before and the booking of Paul Hanagan is interesting.

A horse running in the first race at Newmarket 2:10″is of interest today.  Dichato ran very well on his last start over the same course and distance, he was 3rd that day, I was at the races that day, and he was in front a stride or two past the line.  My concern is soft going today, he raced on good to firm when a close third recently. I will probably have an interest bet as his shrewd trainer would not run him unless he thought he would handle the expected easy ground.

Update:

Makzeem  4:25 Newmarket trading around 4/1 looks good ew bet. This horse is a bit quirky , but has some talent, and acts with some ease in the ground.