30 June 2017

Update:

I am not putting a tip up today. The rain, widespread across the country is my concern.  Firnas was the horse I was interested in 8:30 Newmarket, I may have a small interest bet in play, as this horse was fancied last time he ran, he was too fresh that day and tired in the closing stages, he has ran on good to soft ground before, so current going at Newmarket, which is described as good to soft, should be OK.

I advise to half  your bets when not sure that the ground is ideal, especially when backing something you think will win.

 

 

 

29 June 2017

Anyone following the blog please look out for my updates, the horse I advised today on the Update won nicely at Newmarket  Makzeem  4:25 race,  finished up around 4/1 returned.

I wanted to watch a few races before going ahead and backing Makzeem, he won well in the end.  The horse I liked in the 2:10 Newmarket was a fast finishing second, the race was not run to suit him, watch Drochaid, as this horse as he will be winning soon.

Peny Arcade my each way fancy at Newcastle today was virtually pulled up, she has clearly ran well below par, but must have something amiss.  Hopefully nothing too serious wrong with her.

I have been riding out for a local trainer recently, Jan Coomer here in Guernsey.  The majority of training is on the beach, I really enjoy being back in the saddle, and hopefully the horse I have been riding will run in Jersey in just over a week.

29 June 2017

Lots of rain around the country, very cautious betting advised, unless all weather gambling or proven form on a soft surface.

Today free tip as follows:

Horse: Peny Arcade

Time: 4:50 Newcastle

Current Odds: 13/2 (each way)

I think this filly is coming into form, she ran well last time on turf, she was beaten no distance at Mussleburgh over 7f.  Today she looks to have a decent chance, I’m backing her each way , hopefully over today’s 1m trip she will improve adequately to run a big race.  My selection has won at the track before and the booking of Paul Hanagan is interesting.

A horse running in the first race at Newmarket 2:10″is of interest today.  Dichato ran very well on his last start over the same course and distance, he was 3rd that day, I was at the races that day, and he was in front a stride or two past the line.  My concern is soft going today, he raced on good to firm when a close third recently. I will probably have an interest bet as his shrewd trainer would not run him unless he thought he would handle the expected easy ground.

Update:

Makzeem  4:25 Newmarket trading around 4/1 looks good ew bet. This horse is a bit quirky , but has some talent, and acts with some ease in the ground.

28 June 2017

Todays free tip is as follows:

Horse: Tulip Fever

Time: 7:00 Bath

Current Odds: 6/5

I liked the way this filly won on her latest run at York.  She is penalised for that win, but I think she will take beating today, my slight concern is Harry Bentley rides today, he did not ride her when she won last time.

I notice showers are forecast in the Bath area,  so as long as the ground does not turn soft, which I think a lot of rain is needed to do that, Tulip Fever should win.

A few other horses are of interest today, Storm Over 7:30 Bath was an easy winner last time, and should win again, but is a bit short in price currently.

I will watch the 2:20 Worcester with interest, Forever Field has promised to win over fences, his two starts over the larger obstacles have been encouraging, but I think his main rival today Black Corton, the likely favourite will be very hard to beat.  Paul Nicholls his trainer found an easy race to win last time for Black Corton, at Fontwell. Today’s novice chase , will be a good race between the two horses.

 

27 June 2017

No tip today.

A couple of horses running today I follow, but I don’t as a rule bet much at Brighton, it is a very unique track, and you can get horses who just do not handle the many undulations, so no bet today.

26 June 2017

Today’s Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Ebtkaar

Time: 6:20 Windsor

Current Odds:1/2

This horse ran a solid race in his first start in 2017, he was third on ground possibly not ideal (soft side)  that day, today he has better underfoot conditions and his opponents are at face value mediocre.  Although his odds are short I’m prepared to back him as anything that has raced before who take Ebtkaar on today don’t look good enough.  Keeper’s Choice an unraced filly could be his only threat.

25 June 2017

Round up of Royal Ascot:

It was good to see Godolphin have a number of winners over the course of the week at the Royal meeting.  The whole operation has changed a lot since I worked for them, now they have numerous trainers running horses in the Godolphin blue colours, it used to be only Saeed Bin Suroor who had runners in those blue silks.  Saeed had a nice winner in a group 3 race, and it was good to see Charlie Appleby have some success with his horses including wins for Rare Rhythm and Sound and Silence, who is a very fast two year old.

But the Aiden O ‘Brian stable once again dominated the major races, Winter and Caravaggio both winning well in Group 1 races, he has his horses in great health for the big meetings, he is out on his own as far as leading trainer in Ireland and the UK, and has been for a number of years.

One horse that stood out for his stable and the future was September, she was a convincing winner yesterday in the Chesham Stakes, and looks very useful.

No tip today, a few horses I am interested in but they are a bit short to back currently, I will watch the betting and if value appears could get involved, Symphony  of Angels 2:50 Hexham is very short but it is a poor race and I may yet back him, if value in price appears.

24 June 2017

Final day of the Royal Ascot meeting today.  To have a horse good enough to win at this meeting is a major accomplishment, lots of good horses again on show today.

Very difficult to find a winner at Ascot today again ! I am going for a progressive type of two year old in the first race EW.

Todays free tip as follows:

Horse: Masar

Time: 2:30 Ascot

Current Odds: 13/2

Masar is an Each way bet for me, he beat a horse last time that won easily last night at Newmarket.  Today will be difficult,  as it is a very competitive race, lots of potentially useful young horses in this race.  September trained by Aiden Obrian is highly regarded and will be difficult to beat, but at around 13/2 my tip is a bit of value, he will like the 7f today, as he won over 6f last time, and his stable and jockey are in good form.

 

23 June 2017

Today’s free tips are as follows:

Horse: Winter

Time: 4:20 Ascot

Current odds: 1/2

Race analysis as follows:

Winter is what I consider a good thing, top trainer, jockey combined with best horse in the race, can’t see her breaking too much sweat !

Horse: Call Me Grumpy

Time: 4:05

Current Odds: 4/9

Race analysis:

I suggest backing this horse in a double with Winter, it works out just over even money, all the jockey has to probably do on this horse is point in the right direction !