As a consequence of plenty of rain at Beverley and other parts of the country, numerous withdrawn horses today. I had recommended backing one today at Beverley, who was scratched when the heavy rain fell. I have not had a bet today as yet. June has seen a lot of barren days for me betting wise. With a heatwave taking place in France in some parts, hopefully we can see a dry spell for the next week or so. Ground tomorrow needs careful consideration, punting wise!
I did think the Newbury card was worth looking at, with a lot of nicely bred types making their debuts, with good to soft ground I am watching again. Rail Dancer 4.55 has been in good form this year. I hope he can win again for my old pal Shaun Keightley, he is doing well since returning to training, he works very hard, and I recently bumped into him on the heath, his horses looked very healthy, and he told me he has a good team of staff, which is vital in any industry.
A late post today. I have missed a few days of late, with a fair amount of travelling over the last few days, it has been difficult finding time !
With the 7.40 at Windsor starting in about 5 minutes, Asian Angel has drifted out to 9/4. With the support for Fox Vardy all day, who I think is too short at 11/8. I am really tempted by Asian Angel, 9/4 is to my mind, good value, obviously he has had a long journey, he won well last Friday, and has had to travel home from Ayr. I would think he has done very little training over the weekend, it is probably between the front two in the betting market.
A late post today. It has been a very quiet week for me, Royal Ascot has been good to watch, but I have not got involved in having a bet.
Great to see Frankie Dettori landing a four timer today at Royal Ascot. He proved once more that he is still a very top rider. Stradivarius who won the Gold Cup again, was given an absolute peach of a ride. It always helps when you have a willing partner, and nobody tries harder than this chestnut entire. I hope he will one day be able to retire to stud, he is not over big, but what he lacks in size, he makes up for with a massive engine and a big heart. Plenty of decent races tomorrow. If we have a dry night, I could be tempted into backing one.
After an electrical fault today and no signal, I unfortunately missed almost all the racing ran today. I did not get involved betting, with the rainfall most of this week, I have steered clear so far of most of the racing. Soft/ heavy ground and flat racing, is not of interest to me. So many upset results, I am happy not to make a contribution to the bookies benevolent fund ! I have learned to not got involved.
I will have another look tomorrow, but the ground will not have changed too much, but some tracks dry very quickly.
Having seen a lot of the racing yesterday. The ground was quite soft at York, although a lot of the winning times suggest it was not too testing.
Mekong who was my selection in the 3.00, ran his race the wrong way round. He took a fierce hold, racing with the “choke out” in the first mile of the race, turning into the straight the petrol gauge was empty! He stopped very quickly, with the eventual winner patiently ridden. Gold Mount finished off his race really well to win, from Raheen House, who was also ridden with patience at the rear of the field in the first half of the race. What P J McDonald was thinking on Austrian School (4th) who did extremely well to finish as close as he did, I have no idea. He rode aggressively in chasing the leader, who was going far too quick, Ryan Moore who rode Mekong, could not do a lot about his horses antics, who was racing too free. But I was really surprised by McDonald, he never gave his horse any chance of winning. I would give Mekong another chance, and hopefully P J McDonald will look at the race, and know he made an error.
Not too much of interest today. Celtic Manor 4.30 Doncaster, could of found a winning opportunity. He won over 5f last time, on ground described as too quick, todays soft ground could well bring improvement, plus an extra furlong should be fine.
Two abandoned meetings today. But 5 meetings are currently on, plus Limerick and Downpatrick in Ireland. The main flat meeting is at York, the second day of the two day meeting. Ground described as soft, with light rain forecast. The 3.00 is the Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes, it is a Listed race over 1mile and 6 furlongs. With a decent field of runners, most of whom will have an eye on the main race the “Ebor” at York later in the season. Mekong is favourite, and is justified at being at the head of the betting market. He should handle the ground fine, has a top jockey riding, with a good run 23 days ago over 2 miles, he was a decent second that day, with old rival Austrian School a head behind him in third, and another horse he meets again Making Miracles was a further 5 Lengths back in 4th in that Group 3 event, that was run on good to firm ground, so today’s easier ground will be more appealing for all three of these useful horses.
I think Mekong could well come out on top again today, he won on very testing ground at Leicester last season, his jockey knows him well, he is a bit tight in price today, so that is the bit that is not very generous !
With testing ground at all the tracks in the UK, cautious betting is the best way to go, I tend to play small stakes on the flat when the ground is soft/heavy. A lot of flat bred types don’t handle the deep ground as well as the National Hunt horses.
With racing at Newton Abbot abandoned due to the rain. Aintree is the jump meeting today. With also flat meetings at York, Goodwood, Chepstow and Fairyhouse and Cork in Ireland. The Friday cards are becoming very much like a smaller version of the ultra competitive Saturday cards. At Aintree, where it is reported to be soft, good to soft in places(showers). A few horses engaged who I follow, but they have better form on summer jumping ground, so due to the ‘freakish’ wet conditions, I’m giving them the swerve. At Sandown, Visible Charm 2.35 was fancied on debut when second. He should come forward for that run, and if he handles the soft ground, he is the one to beat. At very short odds on ground that he probably has never encountered before- I would rather watch than take the risk ! The same applies to Herculean 3.45, he will likely handle the ground, but 6/4 with top weight in a competitive handicap, is not appealing.
I will try and find something today, a few days where I have not got really involved, due to the heavy rain fall.
Another day where rain has fallen in many parts of the UK. I managed to find a couple of winners yesterday for my followers. Global Gift, who drifted to 3/1 was a cosy winner in the 4.20 Haydock. He handled the heavy ground well, and basically outstayed Zip, who I think is better over a shorter trip than yesterday’s 1 mile. Half an hour later Moon King, won his fourth race of the year. This horse is really honest, and could well win again, he has not stopped improving all season.
On to today. Not much to go on as yet, I am waiting to see a race or two before deciding if I do back something. Plenty of caution, many of todays runners will have not raced or trained on very soft ground. I was always a believer that, no horse really wants heavy ground, they just cope with it better than the others.
Once again a lot of rain has fallen at the racetracks. Backing anything at Haydock that has not shown form with the word ‘soft’ in the going is a must. It will be very tiring heavy ground. A few short odds favourites in the 2.20 and 3.50, both probably will handle the conditions, but I am watching them ! I thought Global Gift 4.20 had a good chance, he stayed on well to win at Carlisle on soft ground. Only 4 line up as Wiretap is a non runner, Zip will handle the ground, a good second at the track 4 days ago, that was over 7f, todays 8f could stretch his stamina a bit. Moon King 4.50 keeps winning, he is improving fast, and could well defy a 6lb penalty for his cosy win last time, that was 7 days ago. A couple of horses of interest at Kempton this evening, at least the form is a bit more consistent, when any rainfall does not make a big difference compared to the grass.
Plenty of rain has fallen over the last 24 hours. Looking at today’s cards, Lingfield has survived an inspection this morning. This track on grass is clay based, so when it is soft/heavy ground, it is a real slog ! The clay makes it ‘tacky’ and very tiring for horses. So with those conditions, I am avoiding it as a place to have a bet, unless betting in the first three races, as these are on the all weather surface. Rosadora 3.00 meets Love Love today, on a different surface, and with a run under her belt. She was just over 2 lengths behind Love Love at Windsor, and looks as though she has every chance of reversing the placing today. It may well be quite a useful race, as there are some well bred types in it, Brazen Safa is another with a chance of the fillies that have raced.
A couple of races tonight are of interest, but I will likely watch a race or two before making a decision if to bet or not.