A good day yesterday for my subscribers. Two WINNING bets. Little Miss Poet 1:10 Ludlow, won at 2/1, and I advised backing Thistle Do Nicely 1:20 Wincanton at 5/4 ( without Elusive Belle) so that was two good wins, I also advised putting them in a double which worked out at 5.75/1 !
It is pretty good fields today at most of the meetings, Mussleburgh has been abandoned, which is rare for the Scottish track to be called off. Chepstow goes ahead at 1:05, large fields in most of the races, Minella Bobo 2:10 must have solid claims each way at around 5/1, he did little wrong last time at Doncaster, I think it is an open maiden hurdle. Goodgirlteresa was an easy winner 4 days ago, she has a 7lb penalty, but if she is anywhere close to her Monday win, she will be hard to beat in the 3:50 race. A few horses are of interest at Kempton this evening, I thought the 6:15 , which has only 4 runners was pretty hard to sort out, strong claims for three of them, with Kentucky Kingdom looking to give Ryan Moore a winner, he has a favourites chance.
Some decent racing today. The first race at Market Rasen has two nice types in it, Deyraan de Carjac and Garretstown. My slight preference is for the former, he is honest and ran well at Huntingdon when second, it will be a good race though between them, I can’t see any others troubling them. The ground at Wincanton looks decent, dry conditions for January, although Plumpton turned soft yesterday. The bumper at Wincanton has some well bred horses, no line to go on with form, usually it is best to follow the market in these races, they are the best guide to what is expected.
Really awful news today about the young girl who was killed at 22, Natasha Galpin was riding excercise at Iain Jardine’s yard. I am not sure what happened, but racing can be so cruel sometimes, both Natasha and horse lost their lives in a freak accident. Iain and his team will be devasted by what has happened, he works really hard with his staff, hopefully they can find a way of trying to get through their difficult circumstances.
I may do an update later today.
i just watched the 1:40 Newbury. Whatever some of the jockeys were thinking in the early stages of that race, God only Knows !
Absolutely awful rides by a lot of them, they let 4 or 5 horses go about 25 lengths clear after jumping the second hurdle, one that was held up at the back was 8/13 favourite Harambre, they had no chance of winning, or even getting involved. I would not like to be trying to explain to connections, why I had ridden like that.
Some decent races today, I did think it was quite tough today looking for a winner. Nothing much at the moment, I may update later if something appears !
A very late post today. Looking at the last two races at Kempton tonight, I thought the last race would go to Storm Melody, currently around 9/4, he could get a good pace to aim at with likely pace setter Pearl Sceptre.
One horse that won today that was impressive was Emitom 1:10 Lingfield, he all but fell at the first flight, it did not effect his performance though, he quickened up well from the last hurdle, the Cheltenham festival was mentioned by trainer Warren Greatrex after the race. If this horse goes to Cheltenham and jumps like he did at one or two hurdles, he will get lost ! He is talented, but looks as though he needs experience, and learns how to jump a lot slicker, he is still worth following and may run at Huntingdon (Sydney Banks hurdle) a decent race in the next few weeks.
Good to give Ornate to followers yesterday. Today has some good racing for a Monday. I do think Festival Of Ages could win 6:15 Wolverhampton. Lightly raced he has improved with each run so far, he will appreciate the trip, and acts on the all weather tracks. Get in The Que could oblige for backers of favourites at Ffos Las 4:15, although the ground is very testing, he may well make his experience count in the deep ground.
Hopefully followers backed the two horses I mentioned yesterday. Shamlahar 6/4 won at Lingfield, and Pour Joie was a good 5/1 winner in the last race at Warwick.
Today at Kelso, Mount Mews 2:05 could take a lot of beating. Transferred to the Mcain stable after the death of former handler Malcolm Jefferson, usual jockey Brian Hughes knows this horse well, I marked him as one to follow last year, he will need to be sharp, as Kelso fences take a bit of jumping, and it’s a tight race, but he should be good enough. Ornate has a good chance of winning again at Southwell 1:20.
Slightly later post today. Looking at the races coming thick and fast, I did like the look of a couple in later races, Shamlahar 3:10 Lingfield, this filly has had a couple of runs, and has ran with promise, she could well be good enough today. At Warwick the last race could well have some nice types in the last race. A bumper race with no form is hard to work out, Pour Joie may well run well, she has some good breeding on her dam side, an interesting race. Hopefully the rain stays way, as it is good to see racing on decent ground for this time of year.
A good winner last night put on for followers. Creationist was a 5/1 winner at Kempton 5.45. I also mentioned Spirit Warning as an each way bet, he was second at 11/2, so a tiny bit of profit on him as well.
Today has some good racing in Dubai at Meydan. Royal Marine is 8/13 with some firms for the 3.40, having his first run on dirt ! I think he is way too short, clearly the best horse in the race, but his form is on turf, he has to prove he is of similar ability on dirt, if he gets in behind and gets some kickback, he may not really like that, stall 7 could well see him get in behind a few horses. It is a race I will not be getting involved in.
I did think Gold Town 4.50 was a bit more appealing at 7/1 each way. His stable have started a bit below par at the first meeting last week, but this horse is a course winner, his negative is stall 8, but likely front runner Heavy Metal is stall 7, he is the horse that will start favourite, and is probably the likely one they all have to beat. The other races at Meydan are ultra competitive, I may have a few quid each way on Original Choice 6.00, at 11/1, although the race is very open with 16 runners.
Good Winner for subscribers yesterday, Set Piece 5:45 Newcastle won easily, and another Winner today, Lunar Jet(without fav) advised at 11/10 was as I thought a good result 2:45 Doncaster.
Looking at the races at Kempton this evening, the most interesting race is the 4:45. A Novice Stakes for three year olds, lots with chances, Creationist is the one at 4/1 that would be of interest to me, Enchanting Man has drifted all day, he is around 4/1, and is certainly a backable price now.
The rest of the races look tough as well. Spirit Warning is each way odds at 5/1 in the 5:15, he could put up a good show.
I thought I had sent an earlier post, not sure where it has gone, anyway apologies for late second post. A few races left at Newcastle. Lorna Cole 6:45 must be very hard to beat , she has done very little wrong in two starts, her experience should be enough for her to win again over the 5f. The last race at 7:15 is a sprint handicap, very tricky race, Wiff Waff has course form, if I had a bet it would be him, but small stakes.
I was watching Sky new race channel today. Good to see my old work colleague Laurent Barbarin is working as the French race expert, he worked with me at Godolphin. Laurent is a good man who’s knowledge will be hopefully helpful for punters and anyone interested in having a bet on the racing. He knows the French form well and has been working for a number of years on the race channel in France, he advised that Master Dino was a really good horse before he won on Sunday at Plumpton, unfortunately this horse has picked up a small injury, so will be off for a while. Good luck to Laurent, I’m sure he will be a great asset to the new Sky racing.