23 February 2018

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Solid Man

Time: 2.10 Lingfield

Current Odds: 2/1

This gelding is having his first start in a handicap, he showed promise last year, going off as favourite on his second run, he is stepped up to a mile today,  and it is his first try on an all weather surface.  He should be suited by the trip and can win off his low rating, which is in a poor race.  Fran Berry rides,  and has ridden him on all starts so far.  Of rivals, Odds On Oli has shown enough to win a race, his last run was a bit below par at Southwell, so going back to a similar surface to his decent effort when second at Newcastle will be better for him.

22 February 2018

Update: 2:05 pm

I am going to back Gold Star 6:00 Meydan.  He has gone up slightly in the weights for a recent win at the track.  He is around 2/1, it’s a competitive race, and although not much value in a handicap, I think he can go in again.

22 February 2018

Another day of profit yesterday, Casey Jones winning at Newcastle, backed at 11/10, he returned at 4/6 after heavy support.  Smith’s Bay whom I put on the update was a below par 5th, he was a bit keen early in the race, but to be honest he was given no chance from where he was ridden in the race, he was so far back, he made up a lot of ground to get closer, but in soft ground it is very tough on the horse, they use up too much energy, and fail to finish the race off, jockeys have to ride the race to suit the horse, not ride the horse to suit the race !

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Drafted

Time: 5.25 Meydan

Current Odds: 2/1

A winner twice at Meydan over 6f and 7f, the step up to 1 mile today should not be a problem to this horse.  He is usually switched off at the rear and finishes well, he can complete the hat trick of wins today.  Of rivals, Footbridge has fair form in USA, his form at Meydan on dirt has been ok, but below his American form, Cappezano could well relish the return to dirt racing, he ran well last winter at the track on the dirt, he could well pose the main threat.

I will update later with a horse, around 2pm.

21 February 2018

Small profit yesterday with Suprematism finishing 3rd at Wolverhampton, backed each way at 7/1.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Casey Jones

Time: 4.20 Newcastle

Current Odds: 11/10

A winner over 7f last time at Newcastle, the step up to 1 mile will not pose any problem to this horse.  He can improve to defy his 3lb win penalty.  Of rivals, Kripke has shown enough ability to win a race, he ran well last time and is the main threat.  Lovely Approach is the unknown, she has a good pedigree and comes from a strong stable.

I will update later around 4.30pm, as I could well have a tip in a later race.

20 February 2018

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Suprematism

Time:6:40 Wolverhampton

Current Odds: 7/1 EW

This horse has improved with racing, he was a good third last time over the course and distance, he had a wide trip early on that day, so as he was not beaten far, it was a good run, he also has a decent 3lb claimer riding, so receives 11lb from the favourite Desert Wind, he is a bit of value ew.  Of rivals, Desert Wind has won twice, he has a double penalty for that, he is obviously going to be hard to beat even with his win penalties, Warburton is unraced, but from a decent yard, he could well be useful, but it’s his first run, so will be inexperienced, Moon Of Baroda was 500,000 as a yearling, he may be anything, his stable has yet to hit any form this year, so it’s a bit of an unknown how he will run.

19 February 2018

A good winner yesterday at Ffos Los, Scorpion Sid was a very easy winner, backed at 11/10, he returned at 10/11.  The race went as expected, he made the running and galloped on strong from two out, where Oxwich Bay made a jumping error.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Le Mussee

Time: 4.25 Lingfield

Current Odds: Evens

This horse ran really well on his first try over hurdles when second.  He would possibly of won with another 100 yards that day, and as it was only his second race in his life (he ran once on the flat) a lot of improvement can be expected.  He acts on heavy ground and this well bred horse can oblige today on his second run over timber.  Of rivals, Ar Mest is his threat, he was a shade unlucky last time not to win, a mistake at the last possibly cost him that day, if he learns to relax, he is a big danger.

18 February 2018

Two good winners on the update yesterday, Baccarat going in at Meydan, backed at 3/1, a 10p deduction in the pound with a late non runner ( Steady Pace), then Chef Des Obeaux won easily at Haydock, 13/8 returned, he handled the underfoot conditions well.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Scorpian Sid

Time: 2:30 Ffos Los

Current Odds: 11/10

In what looks a novice hurdle that will be between my selection and Oxwich Bay, Scorpian Sid is lightly raced, a good winner last time over 2m 4F, the drop back to 2 miles should not pose a major problem, he handles soft ground and likes to be ridden right up with the pace, I can see him making the running, and galloping on strongly to win.  Of rivals, Oxwich Bay is a course winner over further, he will be difficult to beat, as he is vey consistent, his only blip was his last run when he made some jumping errors, before falling last time, that is my main reason for preferring Scorpian Sid.

17 February 2018

Update: 1:50 pm

Bit disappointed with Captain Cattistock in 1:15 Ascot, he found zero when asked to finish his race off.  I am backing Baccarat 2:30 Meydan, he is around 3/1, he has to find a neck improvement to beat the top weight Faatinah, from the last time they met. It’s a competitive race with Steady Pace not out of it.  The ground is very testing at Haydock where Chef Des Obeaux 4:25 runs, I have halved my stake bet on him because of conditions, although he has won on soft, heavy Haydock ground is very sticky as a rule, he is 11/8 with some firms.

17 February 2018

Another day of profit, Broken Quest winning at Sandown yesterday, backed at 6/4, he was a game winner in a race that was a useful handicap, the second horse is very progressive and both horses are worth following.

Today is as usual difficult, so much racing and lots of good competitive races at most meetings.

Today’s free tip is as follows:

Horse: Captain Cattistock

Time: 1:15 Ascot

Current Odds: 2/1

A good winner last time at Wincanton, he is a big progressive type who acts on the ground ok, he has won going right handed and is coming off a good run. Of rivals, Count Meribel is top rated , but is coming here of a poor last run, which is a concern, if he bounces back to his best form he is the main danger I think.  Dame De Compaigne is another that won a novice hurdle well and then ran poorly when stepping up in class, she is clearly talented but also races here after a poor run, she must be better than her latest flop, as her trainer wouldn’t run her at Ascot if he didn’t think she was better than her last run.

I will update later with a possible horse in a later race, slight worry on how testing the ground is, so I will watch a race or two first, Update will be around 2pm.