30 November 2019

Good cards today.  Newcastle has passed the early inspection.  With the main race on the card at 2.05.  The Betfair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) has only 5 runners, but Buveur D’Air can hopefully win this race for the third time.  It looks pretty straightforward for him, he looks a penalty kick.  At Bangor 12.10 Ballymoy looks a good thing, he ran well on his seasonal appearance, and should get his chasing career going in this race, I actually backed him last night when he was 4/5.  The very open Ladbrokes Trophy Chase(Handicap) Grade 3 at 3.00 at Newbury over 3 miles and 2 furlongs looks a race where luck in running is a must ! 24 line up, West Approach could be suited by the large field, he would be my choice each way at around 13/2 generally.

I thought Floressa could well get revenge on Silver Forever 12.05 Newbury.  They are both good mares and it should be between these two again today.

More later.

29 November 2019

I advised backing Champ 2.25 Newbury  at 5/6 this morning to my subscribers.  Anyone who saw the race would of wondered what Barry Geraghty was doing after jumping the last fence, head down and not looking what was directly ahead of him, he had to yank hard on the right reign,  as he realised he was going to go the wrong side of the railed elbow,  which was about half way on the run in from the last fence.  Geraghty would of had a very embarrassing moment if he had gone the wrong side of the elbow, as his mount would of been disqualified.  I can’t understand some jockeys, you should never take your eyes away from what is ahead of you, Barry is not the only jockey guilty of not looking where he is going, hopefully he won’t make the same mistake again !

29 November 2019

A good Winner yesterday for my subscribers.  Stick With Bill 12.25 Ffos Las was advised in the morning when 6/5, he was heavily backed into 8/11.  Staying on strongly in the latter stages, to get the better of Fado Des Brosses, who shaped well.  Both horses are useful types.

Today has some strong fields at Newbury.  Fanion D’Estruval 12.45 is a French import.  He was very useful over there, and should be in the mix, currently around 13/2 he is value, in what is his first start in the UK.  Racing gets under way at 12.15 with a well contested maiden hurdle over 2 miles.  Coconut Splash was just pipped on his last run at Aintree, he would be my choice in this race.  Some really nice types line up, King Roland is fancied, he has solid bumper form, he tries hurdles for the first time, and is likely to start favourite for this event.  I hope L’Inganno Felice can run a decent race in the 2.00 Southwell.  He has won at the track previously, and this race looks ideal, although you could make a case for at least 6 of the 7 starters.

More later.

28 November 2019

Hopefully some of my followers will have backed the two horses I advised yesterday.   Big Shark 2.10 Hereford was a convincing winner under Richard Johnson, he returned at 6/4.

Today has 4 meetings in the Uk.  Two over jumps at Taunton and Ffos Las and Lingfield and Chelmsford both on the flat on the artificial surfaces.

At Lingfield Nazaghi 3.00 looks to have found a really good race to get off the mark, Transition could well be one for forecast backers with the short odds favourite.

At Chelmsford 4.00 Kilconquar could well have decent each way claims, a good third on debut, when friendless in the betting, he ran really well and should come forward for that race.

27 November 2019

Happy with the Sir Valentine 1.50  run, Evens without two horses I really feared in Ribble Valley and Proschema, with a good second to easy winner Ribble Valley, who looks a very useful horse.   A couple of interesting races later today.  Tynecastle Park 3.05 Southwell has good track form, and could well win again today.  Big Shark would be my option in the 2.10 Hereford, he is narrowly preferred to Mr Muldoon, it could be a good race for such a small field of only three runners.

 

25 November 2019

With all the turf racing today finished.  The ground at Ludlow went soft and quite testing, I was going to back one at the track in a later race, with the rain and change in going to soft, I gave it a miss.  It’s hard enough trying to back winners when things are in your favour, so when underfoot conditions are not suitable, avoid !

At Kempton Master Tommytucker was a good winner 1.30, he raced keenly in front and rallied from the last fence to get the better of Who Dares Wins, who ran really well.  The favourite Thomas Darby was a dissapointing 3rd, he never looked happy from halfway. I thought Culture De Sivola was given a moderate ride in the 2.05.  She did well to be second, as her rider Lizzy Kelly must have gone a furlong further than the winner, she was kept wide all the way, with the winner going the shortest route down the inside, and Papagana stayed on well to get the job done.

Looking at the remainder of races today at Chelmsford.  Montather 4.30 will not need to be anything special to win on debut.  It looks an average Novice Stakes, with those that have ran, there are 4 horses that have never ran, so one of them could be smart. Majestic Noor did run well on debut and will be better for that run, she could be in the mix.

I wasn’t surprised to see Donacha O’Brian announce that he has retired from race riding.  He has major weight issues, and must have got fed up with constantly reducing his weight every day.  Hopefully he will do well with his planned training career.  I’m sure he will be well supported with some good owners.

More tomorrow

23 November 2019

Just on the way to the start for the big race at Ascot, Altior is 1/3 fav ! I think Cyrname has a good chance and 5/2 is big odds.

A lot of very difficult races today, trying to find winners on a Saturday is never easy. I did think at Wolverhampton this evening King Of Arms 5.40 may well get the better of the favourite Khaloosy.  Both ran really good races on debut, I just thought the former has course experience, and would of won with another 50 yards when second.  Both look decent types, it will be a good race.  At Haydock in the last race at 3.40, Know The Score has solid claims of winning again.  The ground at Haydock is really not too bad, usually very testing, it bodes well for a good race at 3.00 for the Betfair chase.

More tomorrow.

22 November 2019

A good winner for my subscribers yesterday.  Big Daddy Kane 3.00 Newcastle, was advised at 15/2, storming clear in the latter stages, to win well.

At Ascot 2.05 Master Debonair could well be well forward from his last run, he takes on a useful Mr Grey Sky who won 2-2 in bumpers, he could well be a strong contender to turn over the short odds favourite.

I may well do an update later today.

21 November 2019

Hopefully some of the followers backed the two horses I advised yesterday.  Both won well.  Torpillo who jumped really well at Warwick, managed to get the better of Mister Fisher, both horses need following, as they look useful prospects, it was a good effort by the second horse, as he may improve for a bit further. Looking at the remaining races today.  At Newcastle 4.35 Agent Shiftwell ran well on debut, when second.  He is around 5/1, a bit of value in those odds, and will be definitely in the mix, so worth a small wager.  Mons Star 7.30 looks like he is a penalty kick in a really weak looking event.

Every one is looking forward to the weekend, two really good races over fences.  Altior vs Cyrname at Ascot.  And Bristol Di Mai takes on Lostintranslation at Haydock.  Hopefully not too much rain falls over the next few days, and the ground is not too deep at both tracks.

More later.