Pleased to find a winner yesterday with Air Navigator, he was very short priced but any winner is a good price !
The ground was so soft at Haydock that I felt for horses, as they looked exhausted, some who were beaten and out on their feet a long way from home, Jonniesofa, who I fancied in the Novice chase at Haydock did well to keep going, both him and the winner finished absolutely exhausted.
I am putting my selection for tomorrow up tonight, as it’s all weather racing, so the going will not be affected.
Horse: Al Hamdany
Time: 1:15 Lingfield
Current Odds: 2/1
In a small field which looks competitive, my selection looks to be improving. He is a big horse who has been running well of late. I think he can be good enough with a jockey who excels at the track. Of rivals, Berrarhi for me is his main threat, he can run well at decent odds. He has been running well on the all weather, and with his rider able to claim 7lb off his back he is dangerous to my selection.
I have had a half stake bet on Berrarhi without fav in 1:15 race, at 7/2 (betfair) as he as previously mentioned is what I believe the main threat to my selection.
Most of the racing today is going to be on soft ground, it will be very soft at Haydock where the majority of races have small fields.
Todays Free tips are as follows:
Time: 12:25 Haydock
Current Odds: Evens
Only three runners for this chase. My selection won at Carlisle, which was his first run back from a lay off, he jumped well that day and should be ok on the ground and step up in trip. He should be able to defy his penalty, Of rivals Lastbutnotleast has a mares weight allowance and is dangerous on her best form, her biggest problem is she burst a blood vessel last time, so with that issue to overcome I’m not keen on her. Probably my selection can make all the running and keep going to win.
Horse: Kilbricken Storm
Time: 3:00 Newbury
Current Odds: 3/1
A shade of value in price I think sways me to fancy this horse. He has won over further than today’s trip, so in what will be a stamina test, I think he can win again. He looks progressive and beat a horse I backed last time, when looking only second best at the last.Of rivals, Poetic Rhythm has been running well, he was a good third to useful rivals last time and has a good chance, Way Back Then has done little wrong as well, he won ok last time, possibly had the luck as the second at Kempton would of been more competitive if not making a mistake two from home. Dame Rose has done little wrong as well, she is genuine and gets a mares allowance. My selection has eased in price , possibly because the stable has not had a winner for about 14 days or more, so the stable is not exactly flying at present.
Air Navigator 3:20 Haydock is a good thing for any short odds backers. Also is one to put in doubles as well as trebles with my selections. He looks a good horse, and should win well.
I hope Faugheen is ok after his very disappointing display today at Leopardstown, he was around 1/6 to win, in what looked a race that was a case of just turning up and jumping round, he was beaten three hurdles from the finish. It just proves that nothing is certain, especially when it relates to horses. He clearly has ran too bad to be true, and i’m sure something may come to light over the next day or so, lets hope its not the end of his racing career.
Some decent racing tomorrow, if the weather does not cause too many problems overnight, a couple of horses that are of interest, I will very likely do my blog with a tip later this evening or early am.
With two meetings called off today because of the weather, I’m not having a bet. Southwell has racing on the all weather, but nothing of too much interest there.
Some decent horses racing in Ireland, it would be good to see Faugheen win again today 2:30 Leopardstown, he is just way too short to back him. It looks a formality for him to win and enhance his chances for the Champion hurdle next March at Cheltenham.
One rider I have taken note of recently riding on the flat, is apprentice Rossa Ryan, he rode 2 winners yesterday. He still claims 7lb , but that won’t be for long, as this young lad is excellent value for his claim, he could well make the grade, if he manages to keep his weight in check, as he looks quite tall and is still very young.
I am not having a bet on grass with there being inspection’s at Leicester and Catterick planned before racing can go ahead. Tommy Silver my selection yesterday was unsuited by the heavy overnight rain, sometimes at this time of year it has to be expected, I was led to believe that the ground at Kempton was not that bad early morning. If anyone saw the Paul Nichols interview ( ITV racing) before the race, he did sound more positive about the winner handling the soft ground better than stablemate Tommy Silver.
Todays Free tip is as follows:
Time: 1:15 Lingfield
Current Odds: 5/1 ew
This horse ran well when 3rd at Wolverhampton recently. He was behind a couple of fairly useful sorts that day, and is worth a bet each way in this race. He has a decent draw and the jockey rides a lot for the trainer, and rode this colt on debut, when given a nice gentle introduction . With some improvement expected for his run, he can be right in the mix of this race. Of his rivals , Zalshah has had plenty of runs, he won a nursery last time and has a penalty for that win, now dropped back into a novice race, he is dangerous. As is Ode To Autumn, who has decent form on turf, he didn’t look totally genuine when finishing 2nd on his second start, and had another run after that when he took a step backwards, he has been gelded since, and that operation could well see an improved run from him, as he definitely has talent.
A good winner yesterday with Might Bite winning one of the big races at Kempton yesterday. He finished up at 6/4 so a slight drift in price. If The Cap Fits won the 12.45 Kempton, I did mention that I would back him if he drifted a bit in the market, when he was 7/4 I had to back him as well as the each way bet I had on Irish Prophecy in the same race, he was badly hampered three from home by a faller, he had no chance to recover from that, he is one to keep an eye on, as he was still travelling well before being impeded.
The wet weather has caused Chepstow to be called off, hopefully the other tracks will go ahead with snow another concern in the UK.
Todays Free tip is as follows:
Horse: Tommy Silver
Current Odds: 3/1
In a small field for a novice chase that will be ran at a fast pace I think. My selection ran well when second last time to Testify, who has won again since. Tommy Silver travels well, and horse jumps well. It helps to be a strong traveller at Kempton , as it is known as a fast track. I think he has a good chance of winning at fair odds. Of rivals Shantou Rock will very likely start favourite and probably make the running, he is the main threat I think, Cyrname has a chance with Noel Fehily riding as well.
Managed to have a saver bet on If The Cap Fits when it drifted to 7/4. He won quite well, Irish Prophecy was badly hampered by a faller 3 out and did not recover.
Hope that it remains dry for Might Bite and he can win.
I am putting my blog fancies for tomorrow on tonight, I will do an update in the morning if anything fresh comes to light.
Boxing Day free tips are as follows:
Horse: Irish Prophecy
Time 12:45 Kempton
Current Odds: 12/1 ew
Although I am a big fan of If The Cap Fits who is favourite for this race, he is a bit short in price, if he drifts slightly I will back him as well. Irish Prophecy was not totally suited to the slow pace when second at Doncaster recently. He lost his unbeaten record that day to a very useful horse, and was eased on the run in, so the margin he was beaten was a bit flattered. He has already won at Kempton before in a bumper, when he had Diesse Des Bieffes (behind him in 5th) so that was a good win, and he likes going right handed, this horse likes a strong pace to aim at, hopefully he will get the strong pace in this better grade, and at 12/1 is value each way.
As I have mentioned I think If The Cap Fits is the main one for all of them to beat, he has taken well to hurdles and his jockey knows him well, Solomon Grey is another that could run well at decent odds. Keep an eye on the weather, if it goes to very soft, bet with extra caution.
I will update tomorrow around 11:30am, hopefully not too much rain falls overnight, it’s raining quite a bit here in Guernsey.
Horse: Might Bite
Time: 3:05 Kempton
Current Odds: 5/4
This is a horse that is still improving, he looked as though he had gone forward when winning at Sandown in his first run this season, hopefully the ground does not get too soft, so although I think he will win, I’m waiting until tomorrow before having a bet, as his main threat Bristol Di Mai loves soft/heavy ground, and if it is very soft I will not get involved in the race. Of others Thistlecrack has a bit too prove, he was a bit below form on his recent run over hurdles, reports are he was not fully wound up and will take a big step forward for that run, he will need to, if he wants to win this competitive event.
Comily ran well yesterday at Ascot to dead heat for second. Backed each way at 11/2 gives a tiny profit. It would be interesting to see how much further she went than the winner,as her jockey Nico De Boinville gave the outside up to nobody !
The winner was well ridden by Lizzie Kelly, who went down the inside all the way, saving ground, the complete opposite of Comily’s rider Nico De Boinville.
No racing for the next two days, a couple of entries of interest on Boxing Day so should hopefully find a winner.
Nice winner yesterday with Divine Spear winning at Ascot yesterday, he returned at 13/8, not sure why he drifted in the betting, it didn’t stop him winning easily.
Todays free tip is as follows:
Time: 12.40 Ascot
Current Odds: 11/2 EW
Comely has been very consistent, she won well last time and looked as though it was a big improvement on her run back in May when she was 3rd, she can take another step forward today and looks a value EW bet at around 11/2 with some firms (Betfair). Of rivals Forgetthe smalltalk looks possibly the main one to beat, quite strong in the betting and has a fair chance, it is a fairly open race, hopefully the weather stays dry for my selection as she has ran ok on soft ground, but think her best form has been when the ground is not too deep.