22 January 2018

Only Fakenham and Wolverhampton today, heavy ground at Fakenham, it will be tough in the later races when the ground is churned up.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Rio Quinto

Time: 1:55 Fakenham

Current Odds: 4/5

A course winner last time on slow ground, this horse looks the type to keep improving.  He steps up in trip today and his jockey rode him when he won recently. I think he can win with his penalty today.  Of rivals, Oscar Star won a mares hurdle last time, she looks honest and stays well, if she handles the heavy ground she is the biggest threat, Earls hill is the other horse with fair form, he will cope with the conditions and is dangerous.

21 January 2018

With lots of rain yesterday, it will be testing ground at Fontwell, and at Thurles in Ireland.  Nothing really at Chelmsford on the flat appeals today.  So I will leave today’s racing alone, hopefully Monday’s cards will go ahead, a couple of horses I am interested in, so more tomorrow.

20 January 2018

Hopefully I can find something today, that is a bit of value.  It’s the hardest day of the week to find one, too many meetings.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Al Hamdany

Time: 2:35 Lingfield

Current Odds: 5/2

This horse has been running well on the all weather, he was second last time, where possibly ridden a bit handier he may of won. He has a good jockey on today and comes here with a good chance of winning. Of rivals, Burcan is from the same stable as my selection, he has also been running well, he is a danger, although the main danger I believe is Lawless Secret, who ran a good race last time, she is still progressing and is lightly raced.

I could update later today around 3pm.

Update:

It has been tough going at the turf meetings today, soft ground.  Good to see The New One win at Haydock, he has won the race 4 years running ! I was hoping to put a tip on for racing tonight at Chelmsford in the 7.15.  I am going to watch the race now rather than get too involved as it looks between the front two in the betting, both are fancied. So I will watch and see what wins.

 

19 January 2018

A good winner yesterday, Melangerie obliging, backed at 6/4 she was well supported into 6/5 and won quite well in the end, another decent ride by James Bowen. Two short odds selections today, but I think both look good things.

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Summer Thunder

Time: 12.55 Lingfield

Current Odds: 8/11

If looking for a good thing, although this horse is very short, she should win without breaking too much sweat.  She ran a good second last time, when she did make up a lot of ground to come and look like winning, I think her effort to get to the leaders was a good one, only horses like her with limited ability,  cannot sustain making up too much ground and win, if ridden a bit closer to the leaders, she will win. Of rivals, hard to make a strong case for a threat, a pretty ordinary bunch as I see it.

Horse: Native Appeal

Time: 3.40 Lingfield

Current Odds: 4/7

I suggest putting this one in a double with my earlier selection, it works out at around 7/4 and this horse will be very difficult to beat.  I backed him last time, when beaten by a useful horse, this is  a weaker race.  Of rivals, Shakour has ability but I can’t see him beating my selection, Cross Swords is the unknown, he could well be ok although is quite friendless in the betting.

 

 

 

18 January 2018

A good winner yesterday at Market Rasen, Ballinslea Bridge who I advised as a bet without the favourite, managed to win well by 6l, the favourite made an error at the last and finished 4th.  Ballinslea Bridge could possibly follow up, if turned out soon, especially if ridden again by useful claimer Fergus Gregory, he is great value for his 7lb.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Melangerie

Time: 1.00 Ludlow

Current Odds: 6/4

This mare won at the track last time, acts on the soft ground, and her jockey won on her last time.  What she needs is a decent pace, as she can be quite keen, as long as there is a decent gallop, she can defy her penalty for her recent win. The useful  James Bowen claiming 5lb off will be helpful. Of rivals, Passing Call is her main threat I think, she has been knocking at the door, with two recent seconds, she should cope with the soft ground and is a danger, Rouergate has also a chance of improving on her recent third, when behind Passing Call that day.

17 January 2018

With snow in many areas in the U.K., racing has been given the go ahead at most tracks so far.  It will be testing ground again, so staying power and a liking for slow ground are a must, unless betting on the all weather surface.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Ballinslea Bridge

Time: 12:30 Market Rasen

Current Odds: 11/10 without fav

I am backing this horse without the favourite.  He has a good claimer riding, and ran well at the track last time, he should act fine on the ground as well. So, although I think the favourite is a danger,  the rest apart from New Quay don’t look a major threat, on what they have shown. With a positive ride my selection has a good chance of turning the favourite over, in receipt of a handy 14lb.

I may well update with something later today, after 3:30 pm.

Late update:

I am not backing the one I like later,  it’s a bit short in the betting. So more tomorrow, It was  a good winner earlier with Ballinslea Bridge winning well at Market Rasen.

16 January 2018

Nice winner yesterday with Humbert winning at Wolverhampton, he returned at 5/4 I was not over enthused with the ride he got, I do think Josephine Gordon should of made more use of her mount, as when she asked him to go and win his race, he took a while to get on top, maybe she was told by the trainer to ride a waiting race , but I do not like to see horses pulling hard in the early part of the race, this horse could be better in a better race with a strong pace, and ridden positively.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Metkaif

Time: 6:10 Kempton

Current Odds: 6/1 ew

I am going to back this horse each way.  He ran well last time, in a decent Novice event at Lingfield, it’s always a bit difficult trying to assess handicaps for horses just turned 3, and which have had three runs to qualify.  I just like this horses draw, and his jockey is riding well.  He can be right in the mix, in a race with a few with decent claims. Of main rivals, Dream Mount has been running well and warrants respect. Sharp reminder is another that has been running well and has every chance of running in the first three.

15 January 2018

With lots of rain widespread in the UK forecast, ground will be very testing at both jump meetings today.  Wolverhampton has all weather racing on the flat and is where I am looking for a bet.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Humbert

Time: 5.40 Wolverhampton

Current Odds: Evens

This horse won well recently, after a long lay off.  He is facing stronger opposition today, but the horse he beat when winning has won since, and hopefully he will be ridden positively today,  as he is a strong traveller, and will possibly get further. He can improve to win this.  At Kempton , he really took some pulling up when he won.  Of rivals, Mythical Madness is a winner at the track, and will be the main rival I think, he will be a late closer, Poets Society is another that could well run better than his recent form.

13 January 2018

Saturday has always so much racing and is always the hardest day to find a winner.  Looking at todays card’s is difficult, hoping for winner to two !

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Secret Investor

Time: 12.55 Kempton

Current Odds: 5/4

A shade unlucky last time not to win when a mistake two out possibly cost him, Secret Investor can go one better today.  The step up to 3 miles should pose no problem, and I think he can beat his main threat Che Des Obeaux, although it won’t be easy.  Of other rivals Duke De Barry has to show a marked improvement to beat the first two in the betting.

 

Horse: Red Indian

Time: 2.40 Kempton

Current Odds: 12/1 ew

In a race that is wide open I am backing this horse each way, he is a bit of value each way and comes into the race of a couple of decent efforts.  He has a good racing weight and will handle the ground and the trip is fine. Of rivals, lots with chances, River Frost looks as though he has targeted this race, he ran well last time and has a good chance, William Henry comes here off a poor run over fences, he should be much happier back over the smaller obstacles today.  Diese Des Bieffes is a novice running a handicap for the first time, he is useful and has a good claimer on top, which makes him competitive.