30 September 2017

Good winner yesterday with Beat The Bank winning at Newmarket by 5l.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Sands Of Mali

Time: 2.55 Newmarket

Current Odds: 9/2 EW

I am backing this horse each way, as he is around 4/1-9/2.  It is a competitive race and my selection has to improve to win at Group 1 level today.  He was impressive in winning last time at York in a Group2, and has won on a soft surface before.   Unfortunately and Sioux Nation are both winners at the highest level previously.  If the ground was on the faster side than forecast today,  Sioux Nation would be a massive threat, he may well handle the ground but prefers a faster surface.  Unfortunately has a solid profile, he should handle the ground ok and is dangerous.  It is an open race with Beckford also a player as well.

In a later race,  4.10 Newmarket Altyn Orda looks to have a major chance of winning.  She ran well on debut to be second, and with improvement from that run, she can go one better,  at 6/4 she looks a fair price.

 

29 September 2017

Plenty of rain around, with the damp weather around,  the ground at racecourses takes much longer to dry in the Autumn, so I am selecting a horse who has form on an easy surface.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Beat The Bank

Time: 3.35 Newmarket

Current Odds: 5/2

In what looks an open looking Group 2 race, Beat The Bank comes here as an improving horse, he won well last time at Group 3 level, and acts with ground on the slow side, which it will be today if rain/ showers that are forecast at Newmarket fall.  Of his rivals, Zonderland has been lightly raced, he ran well last time when just pipped on the line, but his best form is on good or faster ground.  Sir John Lavery has good form and could well be the main threat, he seems to act on all sorts of ground, especially soft.  The interesting one is White Baron, he comes from South Africa, hard to evaluate how good he is, but his best form has been on good or better ground.  Mushtashry is dangerous, but has to prove he acts on ground with ease in it, he has tried twice before, and has shown below par efforts.

 

 

28 September 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse Tiffin Top

Time; 2.00 Newmarket

Current Odds; 100/30

In what looks an interesting maiden Tiffin Top looks to have a good chance of reversing form with the favourite Ghaiyyath, who was in front of my selection when they met recently.  I thought that Tiffin Top was given a gentle introduction that day, and at around 3/1 he is more value than the favourite.  It is not a two horse race, some really big stables have some well bred horses making their debut’s.  Midi stand’s out as the one with top class parents, and could be anything, the Stoute two year olds do not get a hard race to win on debut, and tend to improve for a run.  Although he must be well regarded, by making his debut at Newmarket.

27 September 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Setting Sail

Time: 2.10 Goodwood

Current Odds: 4/5

Although short odds, I think this horse will win.  He was promising on debut over 1 mile and looked as though he will be much sharper for his run that day.  Knightly Spirit looks the likely main threat, he has a strong staying pedigree and could well appreciate the step up to 1m 2f today.  The others who have ran, especially La La Land and Mt Augustus are coming off slightly moderate runs, having shown promise on debut.

At the evening meeting at Kempton,  Special Relation 8.10 has not run for over 100 days, but was impressive when he won at Pontefract on his last start, he beat Tor that day, who has won a few times since, so the form is strong.   He has eased in price to 11/4, so I’m going to have a bit on him as he has form on an all weather surface previously.

25 September 2017

With the ground at Leicester at the moment being heavy,  I will steer clear.  Kempton has some very difficult races to evaluate on the all weather surface today.  A lot of interesting maiden races, that have some well bred newcomers racing.  The 3.30 at the track has Teppal, who won on debut cosily, being opposed by 13 fillies, of which only two have raced before, as I am unsure of the majority of Teppal’s opponents ability, I will watch, but think she will be hard to beat, even with her 3lb penalty for her win recently.

So pretty quiet at the moment, I may update later if anything appeals !

23 September 2017

Really good winner yesterday with Tabbarak winning at Newbury, returned at 5/1.  Saturday is always the toughest day of the week I feel.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Invincible Army

Time 2.50 Newbury

Current Odds: 11/4

In what is a competitive Group 2 for juveniles, Invincible Army has been running very well in all his starts on All weather and turf,  he won well last time at Kempton (AW).   He beat a horse that was unbeaten on the track that day.  Back on grass today should not pose any problems, he seems to thrive on his racing, and is very honest.   Lansky ran well last time over 7f, the drop back to 6f today may not be an advantage, as he needed every yard of 6f when winning his maiden.  Enjazaat won ok last time, he was behind my selection when they met before and has a bit to find, James Garfield also decent form  and is consistent.

22 September 2017

Bit late with blog today.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Tabbarak

Time: 4.00 Newbury

Current Odds: 6/1 EW

This horse has been running well all year.  He is very genuine and in a competitive race trading around 6/1 he is a decent each way price, he has good form in listed and group races, and likes 7f.  A few improving three year olds in against him, who have to prove themselves in a step up in grade or over 7f.  Second Thought has probably the best form of the three year olds over 6f, his second to Harry Angel over that trip was a good run, he could appreciate the extra furlong today, and is possibly the one to beat.