18 October 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Yellow hammer

Time: 8.15 Kempton

Current Odds: 7/4

In an all fillies handicap, I think this filly who has been lightly raced can win again.  She did well to win at Newmarket on her only start in 2017 on turf.  She comes here fresh and will hopefully take another step forward on the all weather surface, the horse that was third to her at Newmarket  Ower Fly was a 4l winner recently, so the win Yellowhammer had was an ok race.  She is well drawn and has a good jockey riding who knows her well.

16 October 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Alfarqad

Time: 2.10 Yarmouth

Current Odds: 10/11

In what looks a race between the front two in the betting Alfaqad is the one I think can oblige, he was a good third on debut, and  will improve for that run,  and is taken to win this race.  He was an expensive buy as a yearling and should be fine on the ground.

It is quite difficult today, hopefully the rain and strong winds avoid todays race meetings.

14 October 2017

Bit unfortunate yesterday, Sound And Silence just beaten a neck, he ran a good race, the main threat Abel Handy just denied him.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Kew Gardens

Time: 1.50 newmarket

Current Odds: 15/8

Short price favourite, but I think this horse has a solid claim in this race.  He has been running in stronger races and was a good 4th last time in a group 2.  A few of his rivals are stepping up into pattern company for the first time.  Rastrelli has won his last two runs and is improving.   Dee Ex Bee just scraped home last time, he may benefit from the step up in trip, although his best form has been when it has been soft ground.

I do think we could see a very good horse running today in Expert Eye 3.00 Newmarket, he looked very good last time, and is favourite currently for next years 2,000 Guineas in May, lets hope he wins well today.  He is just a bit short to back !

13 October 2017

Todays Free Tips are as follows:

Horse: Dabyah

Time: 3.00 Newmarket

Current Odds: 6/1 EW

In a quite competitive race Dabyah faces the colts for her first time, she has good form over 7f, winning at Newmarket over the trip as a two year old, she has had a break from a good fourth at Ascot behind Winter, that was at the top level, she drops to Gp2 today, and back a furlong, both should suit.  Limato is the favourite, he will be tough to beat, as he also likes the trip of 7f. I just think at 6/1 she is a decent EW bet.

Sound and Silence 1.50 Newmarket has a big chance of winning again, he likes the track , and 5f is his best distance.  I have backed him at 9/4 to win. Over 5f it is vital to get a good break or your race could be over, my selection usually is given a bit of time and finishes well, he has Abel Handy to beat again today, having beat him last time at York.

 

12 October 2017

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Montys Award (without Fav)

Time: 3.55 Worcester

Current Odds: 11/8

I am going to back this horse without the favourite, he is around 6/4-11/8 on (betfair) so I think this is reasonable.  He was a winner on his first run last season, then ran a bit below par on his next start, he had a little issue which has been given time to recover.  I think he is a nice prospect for the current jump season, the favourite Counter Shy is going to be very hard to beat, hence the suggested way of backing my selection.

I do think If The Cap Fits 2.10 Exeter is a decent horse, he is very short odds and faces a danger in Enniscoffey Oscar who beat him last time they met in a bumper, so it will be a good race to watch, both could well be good horses to follow this winter.

11 October 2017

Good winner yesterday at Leicester, Just In Time winning at 5/4 returned, he hit the front a bit too soon (mentioned by his jockey in interview) but managed to repel the challenge of the second to win by a neck, they pulled 7l clear so it was a fair performance I think.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Gibson Park

Time: 2.40 Towcester

Current Odds: 11/10

In a field of five runners, the only dangers to my selection are Chitu, who is the favourite, and a clear round of jumping.  Gibson Park has shown a similar level of form as Chitu over hurdles, both were rated pretty close.  Today is a Novice Chase, Chitu has experience of winning over fences, but has to give a lot of weight away, and I think it will swing the balance in favour of my selection. Gibson Park has been consistent for his stable and looks the type to do well over fences.  The other three in the field are needing vast improved form to trouble the front two in the betting.