25 December 2017

I am putting my blog fancies for tomorrow on tonight, I will do an update in the morning if anything fresh comes to light.

Boxing Day free tips are as follows:

Horse: Irish Prophecy

Time 12:45 Kempton

Current Odds: 12/1 ew

Although I am a big fan of If The Cap Fits who is favourite for this race, he is a bit short in price, if he drifts slightly I will back him as well.  Irish Prophecy was not totally suited to the slow pace when second at Doncaster recently.  He lost his unbeaten record that day to a very useful horse, and was eased on the run in, so the margin he was beaten was a bit flattered. He has already won at Kempton before in a bumper, when he had Diesse Des Bieffes (behind him in 5th) so that was a good win, and he likes going right handed, this horse likes a strong pace to aim at, hopefully he will get the strong pace in this better grade, and at 12/1 is value each way.

As I have mentioned I think If The Cap Fits is the main one for all of them to beat, he has taken well to hurdles and his jockey knows him well, Solomon Grey is another that could run well at decent odds. Keep an eye on the weather, if it goes to very soft, bet with extra caution.

I will update tomorrow around 11:30am, hopefully not too much rain falls overnight, it’s raining quite a bit here in Guernsey.

Horse: Might Bite

Time: 3:05 Kempton

Current Odds: 5/4

This is a horse that is still improving, he looked as though he had gone forward when winning at Sandown in his first run this season, hopefully the ground does not get too soft, so although I think he will win, I’m waiting until tomorrow before having a bet, as his main threat Bristol Di Mai loves soft/heavy ground, and if it is very soft I will not get involved in the race.  Of others Thistlecrack has a bit too prove, he was a bit below form on his recent run over hurdles, reports are he was not fully wound up and will take a big step forward for that run, he will need to, if he wants to win this competitive event.


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