8 September 2019

A good winner for my subscribers yesterday.  Dramatic Sands 3.50 Kempton was advised to back (without the favourite)  at 13/8, and was an outright winner by a neck, it was a good result.  Despite tending to hang left, he was put right by rider Hollie Doyle, she is the best female rider on the flat riding in the UK for me, and gets plenty of winners for the Archie Watson yard.

Today has some decent racing in France.  A group 1 at 2.50 Longchamp, well contested by horses from Ireland, England and France.  Romanised is the likely favourite to win.  He did little wrong when winning a Group 1 on his last run. He is the one to beat.  Line Of Duty was third to him that day, running on well, he can run well again, and could be even more effective when he steps up in trip.

At York 4.30 The Night Watch could give young leading apprentice Cieran Fallon another winner, I hope that he rides this horse well forward, as I am not sure being ridden from off the pace suits this horse.

More Later.

7 September 2019

Delighted to get a winner yesterday for my subscriber’s.  Kheros 5.40 Kempton, drifted in the betting market, from 11/8 in the morning, out to his staring price of 9/4.  The result never looked in doubt, making most of the running, he drew clear in the later stages of the race to win well, under his young apprentice rider.

This is a later post today.  With not long before the 3.55 Ascot, Baasem has a good chance of winning this, he has gone up a fair bit in the weights for a facile win last time.  But this well bred gelding could of been a bit of a slow burner, he has to improve to win, as this is a good race, Cirque Royal is another with a similar profile, and he could well be a smart horse.  He is coming from a long period away from the racecourse,I’m guessing he has had a slight setback,  and this is his first time on grass. On breeding he should have no issues with the switch to turf.

 

More later.

6 September 2019

Soft ground at Haydock.  So looking for horses that like give in the ground is a must.  At Ascot the ground looks decent, Lord North 4.10 has been gelded since his last run. That was at Listed level, where he had no room in the latter stages of the race.  He is a bit tricky in the stalls, hence the reason why Rab Havlin rides, I think he will be very competitive, it is a decent race, but the three year old looks like he could have a good chance of winning this.  A couple of interest at Kempton tonight,  Land of Oz should get back in the winning groove again at 7.10.  He has been improving all season.

I will try and give a good each way bet tomorrow, hopefully at decent odds.

4 September 2019

With only a few races left tonight at Chelmsford.  The last race at 8.45 is over two miles.  Kensington Art travels a long way from Malton in Yorshire.  A wide margin winner on his latest run at Catterick over 14f.  This gelding is improving, and I think he should not have too many problems with his first try on the all weather, he would be my idea of the one to beat.  His main rival is Barca, who won a shade cosy on his last visit to the track, he is American bred, and likes the surface, which makes him a serious rival.  I just thought the improving three year old, having got an easy win last time, will have improved for that just that bit more than Barca.  Hot favourite Dubai Warrior was a very short odds loser at 7.15, he was not overly impressive when he won at Kempton last month, a big horse who is lightly raced, he can only improve.  He must of been hard to train, as he has only had three runs, his main issue is possibly himself, he gets very sweaty before his races, I would not be backing him at very cramped odds myself.

3 September 2019

Good winner yesterday for my subscribers.  Culture 7.30 Windsor, did the business at 11/8 under a decent ride from Cieran Fallon.  The move he made about 3f from home, enabled him to steal a bit of leeway on Dubious Affair, and had enough left close to the line to win by a narrow margin.  Hopefully followers backed Wiley Post 5.05 who won at 2/1, he runs well at the undulating track in Sussex.

Today has four meetings.  The 4.25 Goodwood over 2 miles, has a small field.  Themaxwecan has been consistent this season, he could well be tough to beat.  Nakeeta the former Ebor winner, has dropped a bit in the weights.  He will need to put in a better run here than his last one.  That was his first run since switching stables to Linda Jewell.  At Salisbury Emaraaty Ana 6.30 makes a long journey from Yorkshire, he could of found his best chance of a win in 2019.  Warning Light 8.45 Kempton could get another win tonight, she won well at Chelmsford last Thursday, and should be tough to beat here.

More later.

2 September 2019

Some decent races left today.  I thought Wiley Post 5.05 was a bit unlucky not to win on his last run, he missed the break, and it’s always difficult to make up ground from a poor start over any distance, but over just over 5 furlongs it is extremely tough.  If he gets away well, he could be very tough to beat.  At Chepstow, Aluquair 3.45 was a game winner last time, he could be tough to beat again today, possible other front runner Bungee Jump, could well take him on for the lead, hopefully they don’t set too fast a pace in the early part of the race.  Windsor this evening has its usual strong fields.  Lethal Talent was a game winner last time, she runs at 5.30, and if she is as effective on grass as she was on the Kempton all weather surface, she could well win again.

More later.

31 August 2019

Dry conditions at Beverley, so the ground should be good.  I thought Good Birthday could win the 2.05.  He likes to race behind the pace, so if Ben Curtis can get him switched off he can be hard to beat, the main rival is Desert Icon as I see it.  At Sandown in the fillies Listed at 3.00 has some useful fillies lining up.  Jubiloso was unlucky not to win on her last run, to be brutally honest she was given a very average ride.  In my opinion she should of won, if she has a clear run, she is the best horse in the race.  Some strong fields at the Esher track, the 3.35 has a small field of two year olds.  Positive has the best form on offer, he was second to probably the best two year old colt in Europe on his last run, whose stable mate Al Suhail is the second in the betting.  He won cosily at Yarmouth 16 days ago, and is talented.  His biggest issue is probably himself, I have heard he is not straightforward at home, it is probably an issue with the family, as his half brother Telecaster has lots of ability, but is quirky.

More later.

31 August 2019

A good winner for my subscribers yesterday. Wise Ruler 6.45 Newcastle was advised at 7/4, travelled well all the way and won nicely.  A decent end to the month is always helpful.

With a fair amount of rain having fallen in the north yesterday, especially Hamilton which turned the going to heavy, it will be advisable to double check going reports.  I am actually in Scotland at the moment, it has been dry overnight, and looks clear at the moment.

I will update at lunchtime.

30 August 2019

I have had a couple of days with internet issues, so pleased to get back online !

Todays race meetings left are Newcastle, Hamilton, Wolverhampton and one race left at Thirsk. I thought Flylikeaneagle could win again at Hamilton, but it is raining so I will halve my bet if he is a fair price.  At Newcastle 6.15 should go the way of the favourite, although Belisa is one to watch in the betting, she is useful if fit after her break.

I fancy a few tomorrow, as long as too much rain does not fall overnight!

27 August 2019

Leading owners Paul and Clare Rooney are set to reduce their number of horses in training, revealing they want to focus on “quality over quantity”.  The Rooney’s have a large string of horses, both flat and national hunt, with grade 1 winners over jumps and a group 1 winner with My Dream Boat, who claimed the Prince of Wales Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2016.  Racing manager Jason Maguire has said that around 25 horses will be going to the sales, which indicates about a third of their string.

On to today’s runners.  At Ripon in the last race, Clearence looks to have a good chance of following up from his recent win at Ayr.  He won easily that day, quicker ground today, but this versatile gelding should not be inconvenienced by it.

At Bath, with quick underfoot conditions, it usually pays to follow horses that have course form on fast ground.  Lucky Number 5.50 is a course winner, similar conditions as to today’s, he is progressive, likely other course and distance winner Conspiritor is the danger, my selection looked as though he finally got the “message” last time, that he is a racehorse ! Some horses, are just like children, it takes them a while to get mentally switched on, I think this gelding could have a bit more to come, especially now he has got his head in front.