12 January 2018

Bit of run of seconds of late, after a really good start to the year.  Two seconds yesterday , they were just beaten by better horses.

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Early Morning

Time: 2:20 Lingfield

Current Odds: 7/1 ew

In a competitive handicap, my selection has solid each way claims, he is 2-2 on the track , likes 7f and his jockey has won on him before.  He has gone up a bit from last time in the weights, and did run ok in France on his last run.  Of rivals, Mysitique Moon should come on for his last run, it was after a bit of a break, so he is very likely going to be competitive, drop back to 7f is possibly not a big problem as he won over 7f before, Shyron has also a chance to be in the mix, he likes the track and is coming of a good win.

 

Horse: Style De Garde

Time: 3:00 Huntingdon

Current Odds: Evens

This horse won well last time, he is upped in grade and will be hard to beat today.  He is a strong traveler and will handle the soft ground well. Of rivals , Gumball is his biggest rival I think, if he jumps better than his last run he is a big rival, he usually goes a good gallop and hopefully will today and set the race up for my selection.

Great shame to hear former Champion flat apprentice Bryn Crossley died recently, he was only 59.  I actually rode against Bryn on the flat when I was an apprentice, before I went on to ride jumping. Later when  I worked for Godolphin, Bryn was part of the team in Dubai, he used to stay in Dubai when we returned with the horses every spring to race in Europe each year. He kept the yard tidy and had all repairs done, and everything ready for when we returned in the Autumn.  He was obviously a good jockey and rode over 200 winners, he was a small man with a huge personality, life was always entertaining with him in or out of work. I had not seen him for a number of years as he was living in Spain.  I heard he had been unwell and in and out of hospital recently, sadly he had a seizure and failed to recover.

 

11 January 2018

Hitting the crossbar over last few days ! Looking at the positives, still a profit for the month, looking to get back in the groove today.

Todays free tips are as follows:

Horse: Tabernas

Time: 3.35 Newcastle

Current Odds: 11/8 Without Fav

It is difficult to split the favourite Battle Lines and Tabernas in this race as I see it, so I suggest backing without the favourite, its 11/8 on Betfair and a few other firms if you shop around. Tabernas was a close 4th last time at the track, he steps up 2f today which should be ok, and as mentioned looks as though he has Battle Lines to beat. Flag Festival the stablemate of Tabernas has been gelded and could step forward from his debut run, The Jungle Vip was disappointing last time, he is quite small and could of ran his best race on debut, Swordcraft is a unknown on debut.

 

Horse: Native Appeal

Time: 5.05 Newcastle

Current Odds: Evens

I think my selection can follow up under his penalty.  He won well in the end  at Kempton last time,  and looks a progressive type, he has Three Weeks as the main threat, who won a shade cosy at Lingfield last time as well, it will be a good race, with Danzay also in the mix with a chance on his two recent seconds.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10 January 2018

Got a winner yesterday with Black Op, an easy winner at Doncaster.  My other selection Acker Bilk at Southwell was second, only just beaten a neck, by a horse that looked as though it wanted to win a bit more than he did.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Grey Waters

Time: 2:15 Lingfield

Current Odds: 13/8

A winner on the all weather surface at Kempton late last year,  and still quite well in on her flat mark, the long trip from Ireland can pay off today for Grey Waters.  Her jockey is riding well and full of confidence. She stays well and 2 miles is fine, she ran well over hurdles last time. And can win this.

Of rivals, Authors Dream looks the main threat, but was behind my selection when they met at Kempton, and is worse off at the weights today. Bertie Moon is a recent winner, and is genuine, he has a chance as well to be in the mix.

9 January 2018

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Acker Bilk

Time: 12.15 Southwell

Current Odds: 5/4

This horse won easily last week at Wolverhampton.  I think he can follow up on his first try on the fibresand today.  He looks the type that has needed time to develop, his jockey rode hime when he won so knows how to ride him.  Of rivals  Topamichi is a horse with talent, but tends not to produce everything he has, he will act on the surface and if in the mood, he is a threat, Swift Cedar is a course winner ands a chance, he ran well last time.

 

Horse: Black Op

Time: 12.25 Doncaster

Current Odds: 4/6

Although short odds, I suggest having a double with my other selection and it is around a 5/2 bet.  This horse ran really well last time, and has one to beat as I see it in this race. He will act on the surface and has a very good jockey on top. His danger Colonial Dreams has to step up on his last run to be a real threat to my selection, he has yet to totally prove himself on softish ground.

 

8 January 2018

Soft/heavy ground at Fontwell today, the only turf meeting to survive.  I was just talking to my father in law, he lives in Jedburgh right on the border,  in Scotland, he tells me its -6, so here in Guernsey at 10 I feel quite a bit warmer.  I see Hereford has been called off.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Puppet Warrior

Time: 3.45 Fontwell

Current Odds: 6/4

This horse was a bit out of his depth last time at Ascot.  In a much easier grade today, he should take all the beating, he handles soft ground and has the experience of having a couple of runs over hurdles, he was second on his first run over hurdles at Plumpton, if he reproduces that run he will be tough to beat, some good bumper form last season as well, will be helpful.  I do like the jockey as well, he is under rated.  Of rivals, Seaston Spirit has ran well in bumper races, he is though unproven on a soft surface, he will probably handle it, and is sure to be well schooled on his first run over hurdles in public, he is a danger.  Mellow Ben has not really set the world alight on his runs in bumper races, he did run ok over hurdles last time, and  he does come from a good yard,  and may well show more today.

7 January 2018

Good Boy Bobby winning yesterday was another day of profit, hoping to keep up the decent run today.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Harefield

Time: 1.35 Plumpton

Current Odds: 4/5

With heavy ground at Plumpton today, it will be hard work.  My selection has won on soft ground and should be ok on the ground, he looked to be an improving type when winning last time, the step up to 2m 4f should be no problem, as Plumpton is a sharp track and a bit easier to get the trip.  With his stable just returning to some form, he can win this today.

Of rivals, Game On looks the obvious main threat, he has shown some fair form and is dangerous.  The rest are pretty much ordinary, Larry has shown ok form and could well run well at decent odds.

 

 

6 January 2018

Today the ground will be very soft at most of the tracks.  Proven form on a soft surface is a must.

Todays free tip is as follows:

Horse: Good Boy Bobby

Time: 3.55 Chepstow

Current Odds: 6/4

It is tough to win a bumper with a penalty, you need to be above average.  Good Boy Bobby travelled really well when a course winner of a bumper last year, he is fitted with a hood today, possibly to help him relax, as he was a bit keen in the first half of the race when he won.  His jockey won on him last time so knows the horse.  I think the race he won was above average, and he can win again today. Of rivals, Gwalia ran well on debut when second at Taunton, he has to prove he handles the ground today. Mount Rudhmoore is a winner of a point to point on soft ground, he could well be the main threat.

I will update around 1pm, as a horse I like runs at Sundown, I am just awaiting a bit more on the ground conditions.

Update: 1.10pm

Nothing at Sundown, keep an eye out if you follow as I could well put a fresh blog on later after 4pm, with something for tonight.

 

5 January 2017

Nice two winners yesterday, Winds Of Fire and Breathless Times both won easily, as short priced favourites are always supposed to win.

With the weather being the cause of Wetherby being called off today, only racing goes ahead on the all weather at Southwell, Kempton and Dundalk in Ireland.  Having looked at the cards, I am not really struck on anything that looks worth a bet, so no tip today.

I will hopefully have something good tomorrow.

4 January 2018

A good winner yesterday with Ellen’s Way winning at Ludlow, advised at 5/2 in the morning, she was heavily backed into even money, winning by a neck.

Todays free tips are as follows:

Horse: Winds Of Fire

Time: 2.40 Newcastle

Current Odds: 4/5

Although a short priced favourite, this horse only has 3 rivals and can win this on what he has shown so far.  He was running on well last time over 1 mile, and has every chance of staying the extra 4f today.  Of his rivals, Dichato takes a big step up in trip, I don’t think he will stay, he has fair form last year, but that was over 6f and 7f.  The other two will have to improve on what they have shown so far, Stirling Value could well be the main one to beat, as he has a staying pedigree, and did not run too bad on debut.

 

Horse: Breathless Times

Time: 3.30 Wolverhampton

Current Odds: 10/11

A late closer on debut when second at Kempton, my selection is well drawn and ridden hopefully a shade closer today he can win this maiden. He has a decent claimer on top, who takes off 3lb.  Of his rivals Global Pass is the main threat I think, he ran well on debut and will improve, he wears a hood so he is possibly a bit keen to get on with things, Kingofmerrows is an older horse that has had a lot of tries to break his maiden, he has experience and a chance.