8 August 2017

Nothing solid today as yet, may update later today, a couple of horses running tonight of interest.

I have just read Caravaggio who I fancied to win,  has some problems with his feet, he has according to his trainer been ‘very sore’ since his below par effort on Sunday in France.

7 August 2017

I thought Caravaggio ran very flat yesterday, Ryan Moore was very late removing his hood just before the stalls opened, and he got left a few lengths, after that he never got into the race.  But it was a below par effort, maybe something will emerge in the next few days.

Today has a few horses running that I follow.  Quay Point 5.35 Salisbury won very easily last time, she has been raised 10lb for that win, but I don’t think that will not stop her winning again.  She is currently around 5/2 , which is fair.

I think Banff is her likely main threat, as he won well on the all weather surface at Newcastle recently, but he also has form on turf.  Hopefully Quay Point can get to make the running, a lot of her opposition look like they are ridden from off the pace, so she has every chance of dominating,  like she did when winning at Nottingham almost two weeks ago.

6 August 2017

Todays free tip as follows:

Horse: Caravaggio

Time: 2.45 Deauville

Current Odds: 5/4

Caravaggio was a shade unlucky last time when only 4th in the July Cup, the horse supposed to make it a strong gallop to help him, simply did not go fast enough, enabling Harry Angel to set reasonably steady fractions early in that race, and kicking off the front to win. Today I think will be more suitable to my selection, it is half a furlong further, which should suit, and Intelligence Cross could make it a strong gallop, which should bring Carravagio’s ‘A” game to the table ! Ryan Moore knows this horse well, and I think he can win.

 

4 August 2017

Nice winner yesterday, Doublet advised at 15/8 won well at Epsom, he was heavily backed ending up at 5/6.

Today is quite hard, once again ground concern at many of the racecourses in the UK, lots of interesting races, as always I am cautious when betting on very soft ground.

Todays free tip as follows:

Horse: Myboyhenry

Time: 6.10 Musselburgh

Current Odds: 9/4

I liked the way this horse won last time, over course and distance.  He looks type to keep progressing, and his trainer Karl Burke’s horses are flying at the moment.  Collateral has the form to be a threat, with a couple of unraced newcomers from big stables, who could well be useful, but I am backing my selection, who has a decent apprentice in Clifford Lee riding, he won on him last time, so know this horse well.

3 August 2017

After the downpour of rain yesterday, especially at Goodwood, big outsider won the Group 1 Sussex Stakes.  To be honest I thought the ride of William Buick was very strange, he seemed to stop riding Ribchester about 2f out, for what reason only he knows why!  He then decided to give his horse a smack with the whip,  as the two who had passed him seemed to be treading water inside the last furlong, Ribchester rallied and was only denied by a neck at the line.  I think he should of won, it was a major error as I see it, especially when £550,000 was at stake for the winner !

Back to today: My Free Tip as Follows-

Horse: Doublet

Time: 6.55 Epsom

Current Odds: 15/8

This horse won well last time, acts on the track, which is important at Epsom.  He has a 7lb penalty, but with Sylvester De Souza on top, I expect him to make all the running, and keep going up the home straight to win. Couple of decent opponents, Guvenor’s Choice probably the main threat.

2 August 2017

Pouring rain here in Guernsey at the moment.  I will try and put a tip up later, just watching changes/updates in going at the race meetings today.

Mildenberger gave a small profit at 11/2 advised for an each way investment, he ran well.  He was well supported in the betting, finishing up at much shorter odds.

Big Orange ran well, just worn down inside the last furlong by an improving 3 year old, having to give 14lb to Stradivarius was just to much.

1 August 2017

Todays free tip as follows:

Horse: Big Orange

Time: 3.35 Goodwood

Current Odds: Evens

Big Orange is top rated, course and distance winner, and is coming into the race from his win in the Ascot Gold cup last month.  Frankie Dettori who missed the ride at Ascot due to injury, is back on board today.  A lot of boxes are ticked, so I am backing him.

I am interested in the 2.25 Goodwood, it has some decent two year olds running.  Lots with chances, some will lose their unbeaten record today.  Mildenberger at around 11/2 has a decent chance, he could be worth a small each way investment if he remains at those odds.

 

31 July 2017

Todays free tip as follows:

Horse: Cosa Nostra

Time: 1.30 Ayr

Current Odds: 6/4

This horse ran well last time when 2nd behind a useful horse, that was over 6f, today its 7f.  I do not see the step up in trip a problem, and think he can overturn the favourite Bustam.

The favourite has talent, but is quirky, so at his short odds I am willing to go with my selection.