17 April 2018

Three meetings today, Newmarket has the first day of the Craven meeting, some nice horses running today at the meeting. I am backing one horse although slightly odds on, I just think he will be too good for his rivals.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Symbolization

Time: 3:35 Newmarket

Current Odds: 4/5

A short odds price, but I think this colt could be a potential group horse, he won nicely last year on his second run at Kempton, beating a horse that won its next race very easily.  His first race when second at Newmarket (July course)!was solid, a number of winners have come from that maiden, including Chilean, who recently won a Gp3 race in France.  He is sure to be fit, and his stables horses are in really good form.  Of rivals, Purser has to give 3lb away to my selection, he probably needed the run recently when fourth at Kempton, he looks the one to beat, Accessor comes from a strong stable, the booking of Ryan Moore is a positive,and he has to be respected, as he did very little wrong when winning last year on his second run.  I just think Symbolization will be too good for them all.

The first race at Newmarket 1:50 has some nice prospects in it.  Elhafei is highly thought of, he has had one run already, a promising fourth at Lingfield when running very green, he should be more focused today, but Aurum is having his first run for Charlie Appleby, he is highly regarded as well, Godolphin always run their best prospects at Newmarket when having their first run. A few others from big yards also line up, so well worth watching this maiden race.

16 April 2018

Today is pretty difficult, Windsor is heavy ground, a couple of horses I follow run there,  but both are in the same race, both have won on very soft ground before, but I can’t split them, so I am not going to have a bet.  Nothing really looks appealing at Kelso as yet, I have had a look at tomorrow’s cards briefly and a few horses of interest are running at Newmarket, hopefully the dry forecast is correct, and no more rain falls overnight, so nothing today, but tomorrow there are possibilities!

15 April 2018

Really brave performance by Tiger Roll yesterday to win the Grand National, he is a very small horse, but he has a big heart.  A very close finish in the end, only a head divided the first and second at the winning post.

I don’t see anything today that really looks worth an investment, so I am not advising a bet. I saw a couple of the trials in Ireland yesterday at Leopardstown.  One horse that I was quite taken with was Nelson, he didn’t win by far, but really looked like a horse to follow this season on the flat, he was useful at two, and could well figure in some of the Classic’s this season.

14 April 2018

With heavy rain at Aintree yesterday, the ground was very testing and a lot of horses could not cope with it.  The Grand National will be very difficult for horses at the top of the handicap today, I think a lot of horses will really struggle to get round, regards having a bet in the race, its not a race I really have a decent bet in, a few small stake bets for a bit of fun, and that’ll not change this year.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Dream Warrior

Time: 4.50 Lingfield

Current Odds: 11/10

I think this horse can win again today.  He will be fit and is well drawn.  Its his first try over 10f, but I don’t see it being a problem for this colt, he won last year over 7f on soft ground, but the all weather surface today should be fine for this son of Dubawi. Of rivals. Definition has had one run, he was fourth over 10f to a promising horse, with a horse rated 102 in second, that was a good run, he can be expected to improve and is a threat, his only problem is he is not well drawn and could be trapped out wide. West Wing is another that can be expected to improve on his first run, he ran ok on debut when 6th, hopefully Dream Warrior can make use of his experience and good draw and be to good for his rivals.

13 April 2018

One winner with Might Bite yesterday, he won well at Aintree. The double I advised went down as Raqaayeh was only third, the winner of her race Victory Wave won very easily, the vibes for her were correct , although she drifted to odds against at the off. Today looks like another good card at the main meeting Aintree, some top horses again running, it should be competitive. I was hoping to have a decent priced EW bet in one of the handicaps today, sadly the horse I liked is a non runner, so hopefully I can find another winner.

Todays free tip is as follows:

Horse: Global Citizen

Time: 2:20 Aintree

Current Odds: 9/4

A usual front runner, although he was taken on last time at Kempton, this gelding has shown solid improving form this season, the only blip was when racing over 2m 4f in a novice hurdle at Aintree, he just ran with the ‘choke’ out that day, and is clearly better over the minimum trip, he is a very slick jumper, and I think he could well make all the running again today,  to win again. He has won left and right handed before, so a lot of positives, also a winner on soft ground.  Although he may be slightly better on drier conditions.  Of rivals, Scarlett Dragon was second to my selection at Kempton, he came from a long way back that day, he should have more time today, with the longer straight of Liverpool,  to edge closer to Global Citizen. I think he will make the frame, he was a very useful flat performer, and acts on soft ground.  Vision Des Flos has solid form, he ran well at Cheltenham and is dangerous, Style De Garde is another that could be suited by the likely strong pace, as he races keenly, he ran too free when fourth at Huntingdon two runs back, if he relaxes he is another that will run well.

12 April 2018

Unlucky yesterday with Geetanjali at Lingfield, a strong finishing third, beaten only a head and a neck.  Her apprentice rider Cameron Noble showed his inexperience, trapped very wide off a slow early pace was what got his filly beat, but he should of made more use of his good start, he possibly rode to orders, but when you are riding in a race,  you have to use your initiative, he is still a young boy and will hopefully not make the same errors next time when riding, as he has some talent.

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Raaqyah

Time: 2:30 Southwell

Current Odds: Evens (without fav)

I really liked the way this filly ran last time at Newcastle when third on debut.  She finished her race off well, and as the vibes for the favourite are strong, I’m being cautious and backing her without Victory Wave.  I do think she could well win outright, but I’m taking the safer option.  Of rivals, with the fav not involved, Stealth looks the likely main threat, he has had a few chances already, I just think he does not look totally genuine, and his previous run when third at Southwell was just ok, but his last run on very soft turf ground was poor, Burgonet is making her debut, currently friendless in the betting she could well be ok, but Raagyah has shown she is talented off her one run, in what was a decent Novice race.

Horse: Might Bite

Time: 2:50 Aintree

Current Odds: 5/6

The biggest worry is the ground for this classy chaser, he prefers faster conditions, although he ran an excellent race when second in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time on soft ground.  He will like the easier track and the trip is over a furlong less than last time, I just think he will be too good for today’s rivals.  Of his opposition, Bristol Di Mai acts well on soft/heavy conditions, he has had a wind op, so could well be the one to beat, he missed Cheltenham so that could be a positive,  as he will be fresh.  Double Shuffle prefers faster underfoot conditions, he would be my idea of the main rival if the ground had of been faster,  as he ran a good second to Might Bite in the King George on Boxing Day, he has missed a number of races due to slow ground, today he is taking his chance.

I am also having a double with these two selections, it makes them around 2:8 for the double.

 

 

 

11 April 2018

Hopefully I can keep the great run of winners going today.  Great result yesterday, Jungle Room advised at 9/4 won well at Wolverhampton last night, and Fedaahl who was second was advised as a bet without the fav,  at 5/4, so he was a winning bet as well.

Todays Free bet is as follows:

Horse: Geetanjali

Time: 3:45 Lingfield

Current Odds: 11/10

This horse won cosily 5 days ago, she has a 6lb penalty for that win, with Cameron Noble claiming 5lb off her back today, she can make the hat trick.  A lot of her opponents form is on the slide, Geetanjai’s form is on the way up, she will be hard to beat today, even though regular jockey Joe Fanning is not riding her. Of rivals, it’s difficult to make a case for any of them strongly, Duba Plains has shown clear ability , but his last couple of runs have been poor. He is the one to beat.

I am looking forward to the racing starting at Aintree on Thursday, with the big race the Grand National on Saturday, I think the race is as difficult as ever to find the winner, with the alterations that have been made to the fences over the last few years, I think it has been made slightly easier to jump round, although it is still very testing on horse and rider.

On Friday there is a horse entered that I really like, he is a big price, but as he is entered on Saturday as well, I am waiting to see which race he goes for, I am hoping the Friday race as it is slightly easier. So hopefully I will have one at decent odds to back at the meeting.

10 April 2018

It was good to see Notre Ami win yesterday, backed EW at 9/2 (10p deduction in pound) he was well backed into 9/4.  He battled well when asked to finish his race off.

Today there are two horses I fancy, the problem is they are in the same race ! So I’ve backed one to win, and the other without my other choice.

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Jungle Room

Time: 6.45 Wolverhampton

Current Odds: 9/4

I think this horse was given a very kind run last time, he was never really put in the race, I actually backed him that day without the fav.  He finished his race off well to be third over today’s trip 7f, after coming from an impossible position, he has a good chance of winning today, if he can beat Faadhel, who is his threat. I am advising backing him without Jungle Room as well, at 5/4, hopefully they can finish in that order !

Of others  Cloud Eight could run well at decent odds, he has fair form and has been threatening to win a race.

 

9 April 2018

Today’s Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Notra Ami

Time: 2:30 Kempton

Current Odds: 9/2 EW (Betfair, William Hill)

A hood back on today for this gelding will hopefully help him to relax.  He has won in a hood, and also without it when going right handed at Sandown two runs ago. Going right handed again today should not be any issue,  his last run was below par, in a good handicap,  but there were reasonable excuses, he raced very wide that day, and was too keen, eventually he tired about 3f from home,  and was wisely pulled up.  That race was over 2m 4f,  the drop back in trip today should help him a lot, plus this is a flat track, that suits a horse ridden up with the pace.  I think at 9/2 he is value ew, his jockey has won on him before and knows him well.

Of rivals, Destrier has shown a good level of form, he has a double penalty for his two previous wins.  He ran ok last time in a grade 2 race at this track, he never really got into the race that day,  he tends to be a bit headstrong in his races and he was held up that day, his usual way of racing.  That day the winner made all the running, and kept galloping, having had the run of the race.  Destrier is the main threat I think. Elixir De Nutz was highly tried on his last run, he pulled hard and tired badly in very soft ground that day, on better ground today and an easier track, he could well be in the frame, but he needs to relax in the first half of the race.