Nice to get a good WINNER yesterday for my subscribers, Phoenix Way 1:40 Plumpton did the business, surprised he drifted to 11/8, he was a cosy winner at the line, and looks a useful horse. I also advised followers that Brandon Castle and One Vision were expected to win, so all round a good day. One horse to have a look at today for followers is Dashel Drasher 1:40 Chepstow, he has been running well and will like the step back up to 2 miles 3f today. He ran well over the trip at this track in November, this is a decent chance to get off the mark. Mussleburgh has decent ground for this time of year today, it could well be a day to follow the favourites! The first race at 12:50 has only two runners, Ontopoftheworld looks a penalty kick, he is one to put in combination bets.
Looking ahead some good racing later in the week, lots of winners !
Looking at the Newcastle flat meeting today. I know One Vision is fancied to win on debut 3:00. It’s no cakewalk though, Kheros is a previous winner and will be hard to beat, and the Gosden horse is another to consider. At Plumpton, Master Dino makes his British debut, he was a prolific winner in France. He may well have a fight on his hands today, Knocknanuss is a bold front runner, he may well take some catching on the sharp Sussex track in the 1:10, both horses are around 6/4, Slate House is another in the race with good hurdle form, he may lack the chasing experience to trouble the front two in the betting. The first race gets under way at 12:40, Brandon Castle is short odds to win, he should be good enough again today.
Any followers, apologies for late post today. I had a problem getting online earlier today. Looking at the remaining races at tonight’s Kempton card. I thought Wedding Date could well win again 6:45, it’s a race where a lot of rivals have prossibly reached their ceiling regarding their handicap mark, this filly could well be a few pounds ahead of her rivals, and be still on a mark she can win off. Later on races look quite competitive.
Todays grade 1 race at Sandown the Tolworth hurdle was won by Elixr De Nutz, he is a genuine horse, he held on well from Grand Sancy, I actually looked at this race With a view that the front two in the betting were probably very difficult to beat, and thought the other Paul Nichols horse Southern Storm was the one to back at 6/4 without the two heading the betting. Well when the stable jockey chooses wrong, like he did, I don’t feel so bad !
Tomorrow looks interesting, a few horses look worth a bet, I will try and steer followers the right way, hopefully Wedding Date can win the 6:45
Reflecting on the racing in Dubai yesterday at Meydan. It was pretty clear the Saeed Bin Suroor’s horses were much more forward than a lot of trainers, Bin Battuta who won the first race, had been off the track for over 16 months, but was well trained to win, after a long absence. The Charlie Appleby horses were disappointing, Isplolini was the closest finisher when second in the first race, but a couple of fancied horses later ran poorly, it’s always best to be cautious and watch the first Carnival meeting, it gives a good guide to early season form.
Today has a few meetings of interest. Wetherby jumping has some nice horses running. The bumper which is the last race could be interesting, Big Bad Bear was well backed last time when second, he has a good claimer on top today, he would be my choice of going one better today, Prince Llewelyn was second at Ascot last time, although that race is not really working out yet, although he could be the one to beat. One horse that should have no trouble in getting off the mark today is Clarendon Street 2:20, he looks a penalty kick.
Hopefully I will be able to find something for followers at good odds tomorrow, some good races to look at, hopefully the weather stays dry and the ground remains pretty good/good to soft.
At Meydan today the Carnival have the first meeting. Some good horses line up. Ispolini will be hoping to get the ball rolling early for Godolphin in the 2:30, I think he will be the one to beat, he was competing in good races last season, gelded since his last run, he will hopefully be ready to win. Later races are competitive, Key Victory slightly disappointed in his two runs after winning at Newmarket in the spring, he will have to be well forward to win, as Deauville, who has his first run for Fawzi Nass is a solid group race performer, that race is at 4:50.
Switching to Southwell, Francophillia 1:30 could well be the one to beat on her first run on fibresand, you are never totally sure that they will act on it until they try, but she looks the type who will handle the surface, she did show promise in 2018, and this is not a strong race.
Delighted to start the new year with a WINNER for my subscribers yesterday. Aso 2:00 Cheltenham was advised at 9/2, heavily backed into 3/1, he won well under Charlie Deutch. Looking at the Newcastle runners tonight, Kentucky Kingdom 4:45 ran well last time, he is improving with racing and will have a good chance of winning, it will be a competitive race though, as he has a couple of real dangers in Dutch Pursuit and Fiction Writer. It looks a decent type of race for the track.
Looking ahead to racing tomorrow, a couple of horses running at Meydan who I have heard have been working really well, it is the start of the Carnival racing out there, good horses and excellent prize money on offer, it is ultra competitive over the next few months, I was reading that former Racing manager for Godolphin Simon Crisford, who is doing well since starting training, has sent around 15 horses out to race over the next few weeks, hopefully he can have a few winners, he has still close ties to the Makhtoum family.
Looking at today’s racing, Cheltenham is the main card. Some useful horses on show, a lot of them having their first run of the season, many will have long term targets, a lot will be aiming for the big festival meeting in March at the track. I think one of the most fascinating races today is at 1:25, a Novice Chase with four horses heading the betting at around 3/1, it’s one of those races were you wouldn’t be surprised if any one of the four won it. Black Op would be my choice if I have a bet, but it would only be small Stakes! Defi De Soil beat my selection last time, he is a good horse and I think the main danger, On The Blind Side, has looked as though he would be a nice chaser when winning over the smaller obstacles, he is having his first run of the season, so may well improve for it.
At Fakenham today Blu Cavalier 12:45 is a surprise runner is a seller for his big yard, he looks a class above his rivals if within 7lb of his best!
Slightly later post today. I looked at the racing earlier, I did fancy one in an earlier race that was third, looking at the remaining races. The last race at Warwick 3:35 is a bumper. I thought if the Macon Lugnatic handles the softer ground today than when second on debut, he was the one to beat. He was beaten by a decent horse that day, who won his next run over hurdles, so the form has backed up. It may well be a half decent race today, so he will have to show progress from his last run, Nobby is a winner, and looked decent when winning last time.
Hopefully everyone who follows will have a good evening tonight, a few horses entered tomorrow of interest, pleased to get a profitable month for December for my subscribers, yesterday’s three winners were good, with the racing carnival in Meydan starting in January, I am sure January will be profitable , with plenty of good racing to get stuck into.
Pleased to give my followers a nice winner today. Mr Grey Sky 3:35 Haydock was a good winner, it’s looked hard work at Haydock. Also the 3 horses I advised to my subscribers today all WON. I advised a treble and 3x doubles. Scorpion Sid, advised at 2/1, Posh Trish 4/5 and Fearsome 10/11, combined the treble was 9.3/1, so delighted to get that, with the doubles as well it was a healthy profit, for not a big outlay. Scorpion Sid 12:55 Haydock was going clear, when his only threat fell at the second last fence, he handled the slow ground well, and jumped well. Posh trish, the last leg at Taunton 2:55, was a fairly cosy winner of the listed Mares hurdle. She is very useful, and will make a nice chaser in time.
One more day left of the current year, so hopefully I can find a winner before the year is out !
Today has two jump meetings , Haydock and Taunton and Lingfield has all weather flat racing. Looking at the Taunton card Birds Of Prey 1:15 was a strong finishing second at the track last time, he made a couple of novice mistakes that day, he should be wiser for that run and win this event, he is quite highly regarded. At the Haydock meeting , where the ground will ride soft/heavy, Mr Grey Sky 3:35 was a winner at the track last time, its always hard to win with a penalty in a ‘bumper’, but this horse could be good enough to do just that.
If having a bet at Haydock, make sure you know that they handle slow ground, it is a real test of stamina at the track when soft, as the ground is very ‘tacky’, and can be really hard work.