16 September 2018

Pleased to get 2 WINNERS yesterday for my subscribers.  Tabarrak 3:05 Lingfield advised at 5/4 and Madhmoon 4:25 Leopardstown advised at 11/8 both won well.  The latter is a really bright prospect for the future, he could well go for a Group 1 next. Over 5 points(£500) in PROFIT for September so far, not a bad return for £50 for a monthly subscription!

Loxley yesterday, who I thought would be in the mix at Doncaster in the St Leger, was too keen in the early stages of the contest, he weakened in the latter stages.  If you don’t relax , you don’t get home, especially at the top level.

Some really good racing today in France and in Ireland.  The National Stakes Group 1 at the Curragh 4:15 looks to be between Anthony Van Dyck and Quroto.  Both look improving horses, it looks a spin of a coin.  Both are joint favourites in the betting. The Lonchamp card is the trial races for the Arc meeting in 3 weeks, they  always have a guide for the big October weekend, you usually get a few horses trying to win, but running with the future in mind.

More later.

15 September 2018

The first race at Doncaster looks like a stick a pin in it job, so I am looking at the 2:05 Chester for another each way bet today.  Always Resolute has been running into form, has won at the unique track previously, and acts on all types of ground, at 6/1 he is value each way.

I still like Loxley in the big Group 1 at Doncaster, if he gets the trip he can be right in the mix.  Great races in Ireland today, some real nice races.  Good luck with your selections !

15 September 2018

Hopefully followers may have had a bit of Soldiers Call each way yesterday,  he was backed from 6/1- 4/1.  He handled the good to soft ground well, a speedy horse who knows how to win.

Today is the William Hill St Leger at Doncaster 3:35.  Lah Ti Dar is one of two fillies taking on the colts.  She is unbeaten in three starts, her odds of 7/4 are a bit narrow, she probably deserves to head the market but I would look elswhere for something with a bit of value.  Loxley has done little wrong, his issue is the 14f trip.  His only defeat this year was when second over 13f at Newmarket.  I thought he was given a bad ride that day,  you cannot give Group horses 10 or more lengths during the early part of a race,  that is what William Buick did that day, the winner Wells Farh Go poached a soft lead and was never going to get caught.  I think Loxley, who won a Group 2 recently( over 12f) in France,  currently priced at 8/1, each way is a bit of value.

I will do an updated message later,  lots of good races today.

 

14?September 2018

Got a nice winner yesterday for my subscribers.  Autumn Flight won at Hamilton at 12/5.  He handles the soft ground, and is suited by the minimum trip of 5f.

Rain  showers at Doncaster at the moment. Hopefully only light rain will fall and not make the ground too testing.  The 2:25 over 5f for two year olds is a Group 2 event.  Rumble Inthejungle has shown good form on good and faster ground, how he will handle easy ground is unknown.  One horse that has form on good to soft is Soldiers Call,  he has decent each way claims at 6/1, as he and Shumooki are the only ones who have form on ground with ease underfoot.

The first race is a Group 3 for fillies,  Anna Nerium handles conditions and is a 7f specialist. A few others have form with ease, it will be a good race to watch.

I will try and give an each way bet tomorrow for followers, plenty of good races at lots of meetings.

13 September 2018

Second day of the Doncaster meeting.  Some competitive races again today.  At 3:00 pm the staying race for fillies and mares over 14f looks a good one.  It is a shame only 7 start, as it knocks the each way angle of first three home.  I do think God Given could run well in this, she is meeting Horseplay on 3lb better terms for a short head defeat over 12f when the last met,  she will appreciate any rain and is an honest filly.  The favourite Pilaster has done little wrong,  and has the best form , she has improved with each run this year, and looks for her fourth win, not sure the change of jockey is a positive, as I do believe a rider who knows the horse well is worth a pound or two.

A good amount of rain has fallen in Scotland, making ground at Hamilton on the soft side tonight.   Hopefully Yes You can win again for Iain Jardine At 6:55, she is very honest and will help Jamie Gormley in his fight to be Champion apprentice this season, although a ban coming up soon for careless riding will be inconvenient.

12 September 2018

Late post today.  Good WINNER for my subscribers earlier with Global Applause winning at Doncaster 3:00pm.  Advised at 9/4 this morning, he managed to get the better of El Astranaute in a close finish.  It was nice to see Ted Durcan win the Legends race at Doncaster, I saw Ted at the July Sales in Newmarket, he looked very fit and lean as ever,  he rides out every day for Sir Michael Stoute as well as buys and sells a few horses.  He was always a good judge when he was working for Godolphin,  he kept his cards pretty close to his chest, but is a nice guy.

Looking at the evening card at Kempton, it looks quite tough trying to find a winner or two,  I am interested in one in a later race,  hopefully the race will be run to suit.  Just heard Lah Ti Dar is running in the St Leger on Saturday, she takes on the boys, but would not be running if her trainer did not think she had a solid chance.

11 September 2018

Salisbury today has been cancelled.  Apparently chafer grubs have damaged the round course turf.  Leicester has no problems and goes ahead, starting at 2:10 with an interesting Novice Stakes over 7f for fillies.  A good bit of support around for Just Be Friendly, who ran better than her last place finish at Ascot 46 days ago.  She will however have to of improved to beat the experienced Impulsion, who has solid form, and ran well in a good listed race recently. At 3:45 Equilateral is short odds to beat his two rivals over the minimum trip of 5f.

Looking ahead to the big races this week.  Doncaster starts its 4 day meeting tomorrow, with the St Leger the main race on Saturday.  It looks open this year, not totally sure what are the final runners yet.  If Lah Ti Dar does take her chance, I could see her having a good chance of beating the colts, she is also entered on Sunday in France, so not a definite starter at Doncaster.

10 September 2018

My selection yesterday Plumatic ran a good race,  I backed home each way, just pipped for third place near the finish in the Prix Moulin Group 1.  The winner Recoletos franked the form of Alpha Centauri, who beat him last time.  She is the best miler around.

Todays racing has four meetings in the U.K. and Listowel in Ireland.  The Irish meeting has 207,000 euros on offer,  over 4 times the amount on offer at Brighton !  Prize Money is still poor in the UK, although I guess with the amount of meetings the pot is spread very thin.

At Chelmsford the 7:15 has £16k plus for the winner.  In a very competitive race Moqarrab likes the all weather, if he can overcome stall 11, he has a good each way chance.  Saeed Bin Suroor has his horses in good form at the moment.

9 September 2018

Mekong won well at Haydock yesterday, 9/4 looked good when he took it up about 3f out. I mentioned yesterday that the value had shrunk but He won by 7l.   I had backed him on Thursday evening at 13/2,  as the forecast for the Haydock area was rain and knew the horse would handle the ground well.

It was a disappointing run by Harry Angel in the 6f Group 1 sprint.  He ran with the ‘choke out’ and had nothing more to give when asked to stretch by his jockey Adam Kirby.  The winner The Tin Man who was ridden for the first time by Oisin Murphy handled the heavy underfoot conditions, and ridden handier than his usual rider (Tom Queally) normally rides him, galloped on strongly in the last furlong to win.  Murphy is riding with so much confidence at the moment, he had three winners at the track yesterday.

Some good races today at Longchamp, with the Group 1 Prix du Moulin at 3:15 being the main race.  Recoletos who is trained in France is likely to start as favourite,  he has won a Group 1 over 9f at the track before, he will be fine on the good to soft ground as well.  Plumatic was only a nose behind Recoletos last season over 10f, he has won his last two races over 1 mile and at 15/2 he could be a bit of value each way.

8 September 2018

Another normal Saturday of open handicap races.  Haydock ground will ride very soft.  I did have a bit each way on Mekong 1.50,  at 13/2. He is around 2/1 now, so the value in price has shrunk ! He should handle the conditions, hopefully he can win.

In the main race at 4.15  Harry Angel is hot favourite, if he has no mishaps in the stalls, he should be ok on the heavy ground,  5/4 may look large after 50 yards of the race, if all goes smooth.

I try and give followers a value bet in one of the handicap races.  I have had a small each way on Belle Meade 2.45 Ascot at 33/1. It is any horses race, as I see it.  She has gone up in the weights for a 7 L win last time.  She has a low weight, and has a chance of running well, he stables horses are on a massive high.