Today the ground will be very soft at most of the tracks.  Proven form on a soft surface is a must.

Todays free tip is as follows:

Horse: Good Boy Bobby

Time: 3.55 Chepstow

Current Odds: 6/4

It is tough to win a bumper with a penalty, you need to be above average.  Good Boy Bobby travelled really well when a course winner of a bumper last year, he is fitted with a hood today, possibly to help him relax, as he was a bit keen in the first half of the race when he won.  His jockey won on him last time so knows the horse.  I think the race he won was above average, and he can win again today. Of rivals, Gwalia ran well on debut when second at Taunton, he has to prove he handles the ground today. Mount Rudhmoore is a winner of a point to point on soft ground, he could well be the main threat.

I will update around 1pm, as a horse I like runs at Sundown, I am just awaiting a bit more on the ground conditions.

Update: 1.10pm

Nothing at Sundown, keep an eye out if you follow as I could well put a fresh blog on later after 4pm, with something for tonight.

 

Nice two winners yesterday, Winds Of Fire and Breathless Times both won easily, as short priced favourites are always supposed to win.

With the weather being the cause of Wetherby being called off today, only racing goes ahead on the all weather at Southwell, Kempton and Dundalk in Ireland.  Having looked at the cards, I am not really struck on anything that looks worth a bet, so no tip today.

I will hopefully have something good tomorrow.

A good winner yesterday with Ellen’s Way winning at Ludlow, advised at 5/2 in the morning, she was heavily backed into even money, winning by a neck.

Todays free tips are as follows:

Horse: Winds Of Fire

Time: 2.40 Newcastle

Current Odds: 4/5

Although a short priced favourite, this horse only has 3 rivals and can win this on what he has shown so far.  He was running on well last time over 1 mile, and has every chance of staying the extra 4f today.  Of his rivals, Dichato takes a big step up in trip, I don’t think he will stay, he has fair form last year, but that was over 6f and 7f.  The other two will have to improve on what they have shown so far, Stirling Value could well be the main one to beat, as he has a staying pedigree, and did not run too bad on debut.

 

Horse: Breathless Times

Time: 3.30 Wolverhampton

Current Odds: 10/11

A late closer on debut when second at Kempton, my selection is well drawn and ridden hopefully a shade closer today he can win this maiden. He has a decent claimer on top, who takes off 3lb.  Of his rivals Global Pass is the main threat I think, he ran well on debut and will improve, he wears a hood so he is possibly a bit keen to get on with things, Kingofmerrows is an older horse that has had a lot of tries to break his maiden, he has experience and a chance.

 

 

 

Update:

The Great Wall 2:40 Southwell looks a penalty kick to me he is around evens, he looked a horse that really liked the fibresand last time when he won, he will be hard to beat today.

A nice winner yesterday with First Contact obliging at Newcastle, he was backed into 4/5 and won well.

Today I believe racing is going ahead after the overnight high winds.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Ellen’s Way

Time: 2:50 Ludlow

Current Odds: 5/2

After her recent win at Fontwell on Boxing Day, assuming that this race has not come  too soon, my selection can follow up over the extra 3 furlongs today.  She actually won comfortably last time and was not stopping that day over 2m 5f, so she has every chance of staying the trip today.  She acts on soft ground, and her jockey won on her recently.

Of her rivals, Daisy De Sivola races over 3 miles also for the first time today, she should stay, and has a fair chance, she has been backed from 10s down to 4/1 overnight, I think she has a bit to find to trouble my selection.  Saint Ladylime is prone to jumping errors over hurdles and fences, she has the ability, and if she puts in a clear round of jumping, she is dangerous.

 

 

 

 

 

It was good to start the 2018 with a winner yesterday.  Yaltari winning at Exeter, he returned at 13/8 which was good.  Possibly a shade lucky as the main danger had got upsides him when it fell at the second last hurdle, but jumping is the name of the game !

I was a bit unlucky later as I did have a double as well as single bet on  Yaltari with the short priced favourite which rider Adam Wedge missed the third fence from home out when clear in the Novice Chase.  Not sure what he was thinking !

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Rivabodiva

Time: 1.00 Ayr

Current Odds: 10/1 Ew

It will be soft ground at Ayr today, Rivabodiva has won at the track on the soft, and her claiming rider has won on her before.  He claims 10lb off her back as he is riding for his boss today, so with a handy weight of 10st 5lb she can be a good each way bet in a fairly open race.  Of her rivals, the top weight Niceandeasy has won three races from three starts,he steps up to 3 miles today and could be quite well in off 117, but 12 stone on heavy ground is never easy, so I’m hoping my selection can win off her good racing weight.  Of  other rivals, Too Many Chiefs is a course and distance winner, and is respected with her rider also claiming a handy 5lb allowance.

 

Horse: First Order

Time: 5.40 Newcastle

Current Odds: 5/4

With no real form to go on as this horse is unraced.  I just think he can win this race.  He was expensive as a foal (300,000) and has been given time, he has been backed and the stables two year olds have had a lot of winners on debut during 2017.  Of rivals, Daltrey has not looked anything special in his two starts, Naval Officer could run well at decent odds, as he ran well last time when 4th, and was running on over 6f, todays 7f will be suitable.

With a fair amount of rain falling last night, most of the racing today will be on soft ground.  So look for horses with form on that sort of going, unless fancying having a bet on the all weather surface at Southwell.

Hopefully I can get a good start to the New year and find a few winners, still showing a good profit of around £4000, if betting to a £100 pound stake. That is  calculated from when I started the blog in May 2017.

Todays free tip is as follows:

Horse: Yaltari

Time: 1:15 Exeter

Current Odds: 6/4

A good winner last time (raised 13lb) for that win.  He acts on soft ground and stays well, this horse looks to be a type that will keep improving this winter.   With his trainer known for having a good season when the ground gets wet, her horses seem to show their best on the soft, her horses are starting to hit form now.  My selection has to take a step forward today, as it is a stronger race than his last, but he is a big horse and very lightly raced, hopefully he can win again.  Of rivals Billy Hicks looked to be a decent prospect last season, he may benefit for today’s run, Here’s Herbie may be the main threat, he was second last year in this race, so acts on the track and underfoot conditions should be OK.

I will update later around 1:45-2pm with something.

Update:

I am not having another bet, pleased to see Yaltari win.  Good start to 2018!

Pleased to find a winner yesterday with Air Navigator, he was very short priced but any winner is a good price !

The ground was so soft at Haydock that I felt for horses, as they looked exhausted, some who were beaten and out on their feet a long way from home, Jonniesofa, who I fancied in the Novice chase at Haydock did well to keep going, both him and the winner finished absolutely exhausted.

I am putting my selection for tomorrow up tonight, as it’s all weather racing, so the going will not be affected.

Horse: Al Hamdany

Time: 1:15 Lingfield

Current Odds: 2/1

In a small field which looks competitive, my selection looks to be improving.  He is a big horse who has been running well of late.  I think he can be good enough with a jockey who excels at the track. Of rivals, Berrarhi for me is his main threat, he can run well at decent odds.  He has been running well on the all weather, and with his rider able to claim 7lb off his back he is dangerous to my selection.

Update:

I have had a half stake bet on Berrarhi without fav in 1:15 race,  at 7/2 (betfair) as he as previously  mentioned is what I believe the main threat to my selection.

 

 

Most of the racing today is going to be on soft ground, it will be very soft at Haydock where the majority of races have small fields.

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Jonniesofa

Time: 12:25 Haydock

Current Odds: Evens

Only three runners for this chase.  My selection won at Carlisle, which was his first run back from a lay off, he jumped well that day and should be ok on the ground and step up in trip. He should be able to defy his penalty, Of rivals Lastbutnotleast has a mares weight allowance and is dangerous on her best form, her biggest problem is she burst a blood vessel last time, so with that issue to overcome I’m not keen on her.  Probably my selection can make all the running and keep going to win.

Horse: Kilbricken Storm

Time: 3:00 Newbury

Current Odds: 3/1

A shade of value in price I think sways me to fancy this horse.  He has won over further than today’s trip, so in what will be a stamina test, I think he can win again. He looks progressive and beat a horse I backed last time, when looking only second best at the last.Of rivals, Poetic Rhythm has been running well, he was a good third to useful rivals last time and has a good chance, Way Back Then has done little wrong as well, he won ok last time, possibly had the luck as the second at Kempton would of been more competitive if not making a mistake two from home. Dame Rose has done little wrong as well, she is genuine and gets a mares allowance. My selection has eased in price , possibly because the stable has not had a winner for about 14 days or more, so the stable is not exactly flying at present.

Air Navigator  3:20 Haydock is a good thing for any short odds backers. Also is one to put in doubles as well as trebles with my selections.  He looks a good horse, and should win well.

I hope Faugheen is ok after his very disappointing display today at Leopardstown, he was around 1/6 to win, in what looked a race that was a case of just turning up and jumping round, he was beaten three hurdles from the finish.   It just proves that nothing is certain, especially when it relates to horses. He clearly has ran too bad to be true, and i’m sure something may come to light over the next day or so, lets hope its not the end of his racing career.

Some decent racing tomorrow, if the weather does not cause too many problems overnight, a couple of horses that are of interest, I will very likely do my blog with a tip later this evening or early am.