11 October 2017

Good winner yesterday at Leicester, Just In Time winning at 5/4 returned, he hit the front a bit too soon (mentioned by his jockey in interview) but managed to repel the challenge of the second to win by a neck, they pulled 7l clear so it was a fair performance I think.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Gibson Park

Time: 2.40 Towcester

Current Odds: 11/10

In a field of five runners, the only dangers to my selection are Chitu, who is the favourite, and a clear round of jumping.  Gibson Park has shown a similar level of form as Chitu over hurdles, both were rated pretty close.  Today is a Novice Chase, Chitu has experience of winning over fences, but has to give a lot of weight away, and I think it will swing the balance in favour of my selection. Gibson Park has been consistent for his stable and looks the type to do well over fences.  The other three in the field are needing vast improved form to trouble the front two in the betting.

 

10 October 2017

Todays free tip is as follows:

Horse: Just In Time

Time: 1.50 Leicester

Current Odds: 6/4

This horse has shown improved form as a three year old.  He was second to the useful Bolder Bob  on his first run this year, then won his last two races.  He has an 8lb raise for his last win, but I think he can defy the raise back on turf,  after his win on the all weather track last time.  He has form on a soft surface.  Of his rivals, Sporting Times ran well last time and should handle the ground, he has a chance as does Fibonacci, who won a weak race last time, but won well and underfoot conditions should not be a problem.

I watched a bit of the Ireland v Wales match last night, it was a close match, and I thought that either team could of got through if they had took a few more risks.  Credit to Ireland for making the play offs.  As for England qualifying, its good to get through, but it was a weak group, and I am unconvinced they will get far,  especially if they play like they did against Lithuania !

9 October 2017

Some Reign ran well to be second yesterday, small profit with each way.  He was beaten by a decent horse, I think they are both horses to follow, as they were 24l clear of the third.

Todays Free Tip is as follows :

Horse: Mzoon

Time:5.55 Kempton

Current Odds: 6/1 EW

This filly ran well on debut when finishing a close 5th.  She can improve and in a fairly open maiden is a bit of value at her odds.  The favourite Buffer Zone is trading around evens, he has fair form in maidens, but not sure he is an even money shot on what he has shown so far.

I could update with another tip late afternoon.

8 October 2017

Nice winner yesterday with Blue Point winning at Ascot.  My other selection was a non runner.

I saw that Jimmy Fortune has decided to retire, he has had a lot of injuries over the last number of months with his back, and has found it difficult to get back on some of his former rides since returning, possibly that has had something to do with him deciding to retire.  He has been a very good jockey, riding over 1800 winners.  Good luck to him with whatever he does next.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Some Reign

Time: 2.40 Kelso

Current Odds: 6/1 EW

This horse ran well in bumper races last season, is well regarded by connections and looks the type to do well over hurdles.  Majority of the runners are running over obstacles for the first time, having ran in bumpers and on the flat.  My selection ran well in a bumper last season when second at Kelso, so has experience of the track.  The ground should be ok and at decent odds is a bit of value each way.  Beyond the Clouds has probably the best form in bumpers, and will be tough to beat, he is just a bit narrow at 11/10 for me.

 

 

7 October 2017

Some good racing today.  Hopefully the weather stays dry.

Todays Free Tips are as follows:

Horse: Blue Point

Time: 3.00 Ascot

Current Odds: 6/4

This horse comes here off a slightly below par effort behind Harry Angel last time.  I put that down to heavy ground, he had ran some very solid races prior to Haydock last time, winning and being placed in top level races.  Today he is down in grade, the race is not anywhere near the same competition wise.  I think he can win,  on what will be William Buick’s comeback ride from injury.  Danzeno his likely main threat has good course form at Ascot, but he may be better at 5f than 6f.

At Redcar:

Horse: Big Kitten

Time: 1.40 Redcar

Current Odds: 5/1 EW

He has the favourite Rich Identity to beat, which will not be easy.  But this horse ran a really good debut when second at Beverley.  He ran green and his inexperience that day cost him victory.  He needs to bring his “A” game today to win, as it will be tough, but at 5/1 is a bit of value.

 

6 October 2017

Nice winner yesterday with Motabassim winning at 7/1 at Lingfield.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Scoop The Pot

Time: 5.05 Fontwell

Current Odds: 6/4

I was taken with this horse when he won last time, even though he didn’t win by far (neck) he looked as though there was more to come.  He is obviously delicate, as he has been lightly raced.  The extra couple of furlongs today should be no problem and the ground looks fine for this gelding.  Mont Choisy is likely to be his main threat, but is prone to jumping errors, if his promising 7lb claimer can get him to jump well, he can be competitive.

 

5 October 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Motabassim

Time: 1.50 Lingfield

Current Odds: 11/2 EW

I think this is a competitive nursery, my selection is well drawn and has been improving with racing, its his first try on the all weather, but its the same for most of them.  At decent odds, I think each way is best.

Of his rivals, plenty with pieces of form Simply Breathless has good form, but is poorly drawn in 11, she will do well to be competitive from a wide draw.  Bajan Gold has shown promise and has been supported in the betting, a few others with chances.

I see  jockey Robert Havlin returns from his ban today, he rides Purser 2.25 Lingfield, and looks very likely to get off to a winning start,  at short odds he will be difficult to beat.  Beachwalk could be competitive in the same race at decent odds of around 8/1.

4 October 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Black Sam Bella

Time: 2.10 Bangor

Current Odds: 2/1

This mare was a good second on her under rules debut for the stable.  She won a point to point previously.  The Dan Skelton horses are currently in good form.  The majority in this race have been off the track for a while, so fitness is taken on trust.  Big Penny is the likely main danger, she ran well on her hurdle debut and should run well again.  Tangly won a weak bumper on her latest run although you can’t do more than win, she has had a bit of market confidence this morning so a decent run is expected.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3 October 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: City Gent

Time: 6.10 Kempton

Current Odds: 5/1 Each Way

I am backing this horse each way.  He has been improving with racing  and although it looks a competitive race this horse looks as though he has a solid chance from a good draw.  The biggest threat could be Lady Dancealot, she has a good draw and ran well at Ascot last time when second.

At this time of the year you can quite easily back something that runs a shocker on the flat, as horses start to go off the boil ! It is hard for trainers to keep horses on the go through the season, especially at a peak.  There are exception’s, Enable was an example on Sunday when winning in France, she is an exceptional filly and has a top trainer in John Gosden, she looks to be hard as nails, and still progressing.

 

2 October 2017

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Rococo Style

Time:   5.00 Stratford

Current Odds: 11/4

In what is a mares only bumper, a few winning mares are running with penalties.  My selection was well backed on debut when winning easily at Southwell,  and I think she will be hard to beat today even with her penalty.  Possible main threat could be Rouergate, she was second other debut and its interesting that Bryan Cooper comes over from Ireland to take the ride.  Of the rest, a few who have shown form in bumpers and point to point’s, and Your Wan is an unraced mare , that comes from a respected stable, she is also well related to a good animal in Synchronised.