9 October 2019

Ludlow looks to have had very little rain.  The ground looks good.  Two races already ran, with the third race not far off.  At Nottingham, where underfoot conditions are heavy , soft in places.  It will be testing ground.  At 1.25 I did like Moosmee, he ran well on soft ground on his debut, and the William Haggas horses usually improve a good deal for a run, Debs Delight and Asmund are his likely main dangers, unless one of the unraced runners is useful.  At Newcastle this evening, Red Line Alexander could have a decent chance in the 6.25, she ran well on debut, with expected improvement she should stay very well, the mile straight at Newcastle on the tapeta is a real test of stamina, which should be ok for the Simon Crisford trained juvenile.

I may do an update at around 4.30 pm.

8 October 2019

With the rain over the last few days, ground conditions on turf are going to be riding on the slow side.  At Catterick the racing has been abandoned.

I have been in London over the last few days, doing some media training with Racing Tv.  Myself and 5 other ex jockeys, one who is still currently riding.  It was really good to see how things work from behind the scenes, from all the different departments. We met quite a lot of the team for Racing Tv, all of them were very helpful, trying to make us feel at ease and giving us good advise on what goes on, and how the whole operation works.  So I have not managed to do an update until now.  With really testing ground at Leicester, I would not have recommended anything.  Chelmsford has quite a few races left this evening.  Poetic Legacy 8.10 has winning form at the track, if none the worse for quite a few quick runs, she has another strong chance of winning again.

More tomorrow.

6 October 2019

Heavy rain at Longchamp today, made the ground very testing.  Post race comments from John Gosden about the defeat of Enable, was mainly about how he thought that her usual finishing burst was not quite the same in the slow conditions.  She ran a gallant race to finish second, but the big strong five year old Waldgeist outstayed her in the latter stages of the race, to get on top well inside the final furlong.  He really finished off the race strongly, a good training performance by Andre Fabre.  I did not get involved in the race from a betting prospective, because of the ground, plus 4/6 about Enable was very short.  Hopefully we may get to see her race again, as connections stipulated that her owner would make the final decision on if it was her last race or not.

A few horses tomorrow of interest, hopefully the rain from France will not arrive.

5 October 2019

A good winner for my subscribers yesterday.  Caravan of Hope 4.20 Ascot was advised yesterday morning at 15/8, heavily backed into a shade of odds on, before a resolute victory under Ryan Moore.  With the 3.10 handicap running shortly, Bedouins Story would be my each way choice, priced at around 9/1, he has vastly improved for the fitting of cheek pieces.  Rip Orff is another who has a good chance in the race.  I may do an update in about 20 minutes.

 

3 October 2019

Fairly late post today.  I was looking at backing Imperium 4.55, but went against it as I thought he may have traffic problems with a large field, he flew in the last furlong to be second, but Luke Morris rode a good race on the winner, and stole the race by kicking about two furlongs from home.  Tonight’s cards at Wolverhampton and Chelmsford have a couple of races of interest.  The 6.30 should go the way of South Coast, she ran well last time, the extra trip today should suit, and a level track should be much better, she did not handle Epsom well when second.  I thought Poetic Legacy 8.10 Wolverhampton could be hard to beat, she drops in grade, although she has risen in the weights, but should still edge it in this low graded affair.

2 October 2019

Hopefully followers backed Total Commitment last night at Kempton, he finished off at 5/1, having drifted to 8/1 at one stage.  Tonight’s all weather cards has a couple of really nice types running at Newcastle.  Tsar 6.55 ran in a really good maiden at Newmarket about 8 weeks ago, he ran on from a mediocre position under tender handling that day.  He should be hard to beat, as well as Perfect Number 7.25, she won well on debut, having been hampered early on, I think she can beat New Angel again, even though she is 7lb worse off.  Sandy Steve 7.40 Kempton will probably like the return to the all weather surface today.  He was never happy at Brighton last time, but that can be forgiven, as Brighton is a very tricky track and a lot of horses just don’t act there.

More tomorrow.

 

1 October 2019

A late post today.  Couple of quiet days, and so far today I have not had a bet.  I may back Lyricist Voice 6.40 Kempton, he looks as though he can step forward from his good second about 6 weeks ago, he ran at the track on his last run, so that experience  is a positive,  his negative is stall 11, so I may just wait and maybe have a bet in running, as long as he gets a decent start.  Total Commitment 7.40 could well appreciate a return to the track, he is a course and distance winner, well drawn today, he is a bit of value at around 11/2.

Looking ahead to the weekend, all the headlines have  been about Enable, and can she win a third Prix D’de l’Arc De Triomphe on Sunday.  She must have a favourites chance, of main rivals, Japan has strong form, he is still improving and has won over the track, but he will need to step up again to win.  Ghaiyyath has to be considered as a live danger as well, he won his latest group 1 race by over 14 lengths.  The strength of the opposition was possibly nothing like Enable has faced this season, but the time was decent, and he won by a wide margin, so he could not do much more than he did.  The French have Waldgeist and Sottsass, both useful horses, of the two most fancied French,  Sottsass would be the one of them, I think has the edge, he could have more improvement left in him, he was very impressive when winning the French Derby, and should handle the likely soft ground ok.

More tomorrow.

28 September 2019

A few races down already today.  Tough as ever finding a winner.  At Newmarket the ground looks decent, so no real excuses there. The best race as I see it is the 3.00, I like three horses in it, so finding the one to be with is almost impossible ! Siskin is probably the best value each way, he is around 9/2, so as he is a previous group 1 winner, a little scrap of value.  Big gamble on Lord North in the 3:40, backed from 10/1-11/2 this morning.  He has 34 rivals, so it is a cavalry charge.  I think the unique trip of 9f, makes it a real test, as they run in a straight line over the Rowley mile track at Newmarket.  Le Don De Vie has form over a bit further, he has each way claims, but it is interest betting only.  So a typical cautious day on a Saturday, it’s not a strong day for me, always too many in each race with a chance !

27 September 2019

A late post tonight.  I was looking at backing one at Haydock today in a late race, with the rain most of the day, the meeting was called off.  I am assuming the officials are trying to save the track for tomorrow’s scheduled meeting.  I would have doubts about it going ahead.

Of the remaining races tonight, Moment Of Silence 8.00 Newcastle is well regarded, supported all day in the betting market, she is expected to win. Numerian at 9/4 without the favourite,  is very tempting in the 7.15 Dundalk.   I will try and find something for my followers to have a bet on tomorrow.  The Newmarket card will be very hard to solve!

26 September 2019

Good winner yesterday for my subscribers.  Faylaq was advised at 6/4 yesterday morning before he won well at Kempton 7.30.  He looks a really decent horse, connections have not ran him on fast ground, as he needs good ground to be seen at his best.

Looking at the remaining races this evening, Knockacullion 7.15 Southwell tries the Fibresand for the first time, dirt bred, I think he should be fine on the surface.  He could well have too much experience for his rivals, and should win.

More later.