A nice winner yesterday, Don’t Give Up won well at Meydan, backed from 6/4-11/10, a profit on the day, my other selection Kapdad was beaten a neck into second.

Todays Free tip is  as follows:

Horse: Stealth

Time: 1:30 Lingfield

Current Odds: 5/2

With a small field of 4 in this novice stakes, Stealth has a good chance of winning this.  He ran well last time when second, with cheekpieces today for the first time, connections must feel he lacks a bit of focus, he is fit and improving, hopefully he can keep going forward and be ridden positively to win this.  Of rivals, all have got something going for them, Jazirat is the one to beat I think, he has shown form on grass, but should be ok on the synthetic surface, Vale Of Kent won well on debut, but was below par last time, if he produces his first run form he is dangerous, even with a winners penalty.

I will update later with a horse at Sandown , I just want to watch a race or two at the track first, around 2pm I should know if it is ok.

No changes at Meydan, Don’t Give Up looks as though he will take a bit of beating 3:40, as I mentioned in my blog last night.

Gold Town is very short to back at 1/3, but if he has a clear run, I can see him winning well in the UAE 2,000 guineas at Meydan.

Todays additional Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Kapdad

Time: 2:05 Fontwell

Current Odds: 5/4

In a novice hurdle, that looks fairly ordinary.  Kapdad has shown enough to win this, his jumping has to be a little better than it has been, he tended to jump slightly big when third at Kempton last time, he should handle the ground ok, and his jockey knows him well.  Of rivals, Night Of Glory is not a natural over hurdles, he lacks fluency, he has been slightly disappointing so far in his two runs over obstacles.  If he gets his jumping together, he is dangerous.

Nice winner today with Carouse, backed at 11/8, heavily supported in the betting, returning at 8/11.  He won very easily, a small profit on the day as my other selection was virtually pulled up in the straight at Lingfield, Queen Of Kalahari clearly had something wrong when asked for her effort, hopefully it is not too serious.

Thursdays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Don’t Give Up

Time: 3.40 Meydan

Current Odds: 6/4

I am putting my selection on tonight, as the race is on dirt, so not too concerned about going changes.  A comfortable winner last time over the course and distance, this horse can follow up again in this race.  He had good form on turf, and with a small weight rise, I think he can defy that and win again.  Of rivals, Alabaster is a stable mate of my selection, he is a horse that possibly doesn’t give everything he can in a finish, he has talent but needs to improve to win, Saltarin Dubai was second to Don’t Give Up recently, he is slightly better off at the weights, but I think he won’t be good enough to win, he has place claims.

I will update tomorrow, probably around 1pm.

Fair amount of rain forecast, so I’m going to watch the turf racing and decide if to back one in a later race.

One more on the all weather, I think could be some value is:

Horse: Queen Of Kalahari

Time: 3:20 Lingfield

Current Odds: 5/2 without fav

I am backing this filly without the fav(Snaffled), she has consistent form last year, ran a good race behind a fair performer in her only all weather run, she has changed hands since, with a new trainer now.  She has not ran since October, so taking her fitness on trust, I think she is value without the fav at 5/2.  Callum Shepherd takes off a useful 3lb, and she has ran well off a pound below her current rating, when second at Kempton.  Of rivals, the two she opposes with Snaffled out of the equation, Poetic Imagination is quirky, she has ability but wears blinkers for a reason, Samovar is having his first try away from the fibresand of Southwell, he also wears blinkers, I think he is more effective over 5f,

Good winner today with Volatile winning easily by 8l at Southwell, he was backed from 7/4-11/8, although he did touch 2/1 through the day.  I am putting a selection on tonight for tomorrow, it is on the all weather, so no ground changes .

Wednesday’s Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Carouse

Time: 1:50 Lingfield

Current Odds: 11/8

Currently his price is lowering, he has won at Lingfield over 7f, tomorrow he races over 1 mile, which should not be a problem.  He is top rated, and possibly has scope to keep improving.  He will take all the beating in this, although Bungee Jump is weighted favourably to be a danger, I’m just not totally convinced she will be as good over 1 mile as she has been when winning over shorter. Breakfast ran well last time, he has to take a big step forward to beat Carouse giving him 3lb.

I will Update tomorrow around 1pm, as I am just going to see what the weather does overnight.

A good winner last night at Wolverhampton.  Star Archer 7/4 was a cosy winner, nice profit on the day.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Volatile

Time: 4:30 Southwell

Current Odds: 7/4

In what looks a novice stakes that will not take a lot of winning, Volatile has the best form, on show.  He races for the first time on Fibresand, but his style of racing should suit , and he is a big strong horse who should handle conditions.  His jockey knows him well and he has won over 6f.  Of rivals, Light Laughter has ran over various trips, she faded late over 7f last time, she is slightly favoured at the weights as she has a claimer taking 7lb off her back, plus she has yet to win so has no penalty. Essential is a winner over 7f on the track, so he handles the surface, the drop in trip should be ok but is rated 19lb inferior to Volatile, he needs a big step forward to beat Volatile and Light Laughter, the others are unexposed, so hard to evaluate.

Racing currently going ahead at all three tracks today. Couple of short priced horses that should have no problem in winning today, I may put them in doubles and trebles.

My selection Passing Clouds is around 15/2 with firms, he runs 5.40 Wolverhampton.  I think each way he has solid claims, Iconic Sunset is the one they all have to beat in the race, as I see it.

Todays other free tip is as follows:

Horse: Star Archer

Time: 6.10 Wolverhampton

Current Odds: 13/8

A course and distance winner last month, this horse has been given a bit of time as his win was after over a year off the track.  He is clearly fragile, but talented.  He can make use of the weight he receives from the majority of rivals today, hopefully he will relax a bit better today, he was a shade keen when winning, but in this better race, with more pace expected he can finish his race off well to win.  Of rivals, Mount Tahan has solid course form, he is a late closer usually, and is dangerous.  Pactolus is another with useful form, he rarely runs a bad race.

Nice winner today with Grand Morning  obliging, he returned at 4/5, and although he only won a neck, I think he is a horse to follow.  He handles winter ground, so could well win again, he can’t get too much weight rise from the handicapper.

I am putting my tip up for tomorrow, as it is on the all weather, so ground changes are not a major concern.  Looking at the snow at Ayr, racing may have problems tomorrow with meetings going ahead.

Mondays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Passing Clouds

Time: 5.40 Wolverhampton

Current Odds:7/1 EW

I am backing this horse each way, he is around 7/1 with most firms.  He has ran well on the all weather this winter, he will appreciate the extra furlong and a half tomorrow, his run at Kempton last time was a solid effort.  He rallied well, after looking as though he was going to drop out, and was doing good work at the finish, that was over 1 mile. His rider knows him, and he is well drawn.  I think he can be right in the mix of his current rating.  Of rivals, Illusional has ability, he was a bit below par on his last run, he has had a break,  and could be dangerous, although he has been running over 6f and 7f, so not totally sure if he will thrive over the trip.  Iconic Sunset is the biggest threat I think, he should have no stamina issues, he has not raced for 104 days, but don’t think that is a negative.  Battle Lines is another to consider with a chance, he beat Passing Clouds in a maiden, although I think Passing Clouds didn’t perform that day to his best, he is stable mate of Iconic Sunset.

I will do an update tomorrow as a couple of other horses running that could be worth a bet.

Good winner yesterday, Fearsome backed at 5/2 without the fav, was a winner.  I did actually back him outright when he drifted to 7/1 as an outright winner, he did well to win as he came from last to first. A good profit on the day, my other selection last night Acker Bilk was a decent second, just not good enough.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse:  Grand Morning

Time: 2.55 Ayr

Current Odds: 4/5

I think it could be a day for short odds winners at Ayr. This horse won a novice at the track on heavy ground recently.  He jumped better as the race went on, Derek Fox rides again today so he knows him well, he is lightly raced and can progress to win this.  Of rivals the Irish horse Cubomania could be the biggest threat, he was below par last time, not sure he is good enough to beat Grand Morning.

Nice winner yesterday with Thebannerkingrebel obliging, backed from 11/10-10/11, he is a smart horse, gave a small profit on the day with Carolinae finishing second, beaten by a better horse on the day.

Good to see Altior returns at Newbury today 3:00, he has had wind surgery, this is his prep race before the Cheltenham festival, it will be good to see how he gets on.

Todays Free tips are as follows:

Horse: Fearsome

Time: 3:30 Lingfield

Current odds: 5/2 without fav

I am backing this horse without the fav(Boychick) He was a game winner last time at the track, beating a horse that won next time.  He made the running that day, and with the same rider again today, he will be hard to beat.  Of rivals, Boychick is very honest and keeps winning or being second, he is a real all weather specialist, and if he beats Fearsome, we still have a winner,   Ravenous ran well last time, I’m not convinced he is the most honest, Barye is one that has dropped in the weights, if he recaptures his best form of 2016 he is thrown in at the weights.

Horse: Acker Bilk

Time: 8:15 Wolverhampton

Current Odds: 5/2

I backed this horse last time, possibly the Southwell surface did not play to his strengths, or it was too soon after his win 5 days before.  He has had a break, and comes here with a good chance of winning, his rider claims a handy 3lb off his back and he is a course and distance winner.  Of rivals, Reckless Wave has good form, coming off a 226 day lay off is not a major concern, but I’m sure she will come on for it, she has not been harshly treated with only 3lb rise for her win at Newbury.  Frown has a decent racing weight and in her first run in a handicap she is right in the mix.