12 October 2019

A nice winner for my subscribers today.  Only advised bet was Military March 2.55 Newmarket, he was 6/1 at the time, backed into 4/1, he made about all the running under Oisin Murphy.

A few races remaining at Wolverhampton, I did think Glenties 7.30 had solid each way claims, he is unfavourably drawn, and that looks his only negative in this two year old event.  He ran really well on debut, and the stables horses normally improve a lot for a run.

Looking at some of the winners earlier today.  Pinatubo was workmanlike rather than impressive, in winning the Group 1 Darley Dewhurst Stakes.  He goes into the winter break as short favourite for next years 2,000 Guineas.  Taking odds on about a horse next May is absolute madness.

More tomorrow.

 

 

11 October 2019

Good racing at lots of the race meetings today.  Soft ground conditions at York, so it will pay to go with something that has shown previous soft ground form.  Having seen the first race, it looks hard work.  Hamish 3.50 has been allotted top weight, and quite rightly so, he has good form with ease in the ground, has won at the track previously and stays well, his negative is his price, 13/8 is narrow, but I wouldn’t be keen to back anything to beat him.  At Chepstow over jumps, really good racing.  Just about to start the Grade 2 Hurdle (Unibet Persian War Novice Hurdle). A open race I thought.  The last race at 5.35 where Silver Forever is short odds to win, she has strong claims on her bumper form, unraced over obstacles has made me look at something with a little bit of value, Kissesforkatie has solid each way claims, she was not far behind the favourite in a bumper, and has had a run over hurdles, where she ran well.  The drop back in trip of about 2 furlongs, looks a positive.

 

10 October 2019

A good winner yesterday for my subscribers.  Byron Flyer 2.15 Ludlow, drifted in the betting from slightly odds on out to 6/4, jumping well in the main, his rivals were making plenty of mistakes, he managed to get the better of his nearest rival.  Also followers hopefully backed Moosmee 1.25 Nottingham, who made just about all the running to handle the soft ground well at Nottingham, backed in from around 3/1- 9/4.

Plenty of money being spent at the Newmarket yearling sales.  The Maktoum family having been spending large.  3.6 million and 3.1 million on two colts, the latter of them bought yesterday, was a Frankel colt, half brother to the excellent Golden Horn, he will likely go into training with John Gosden.  The Book 1 yearling sales also has the bonus scheme, were if they go on and win races of a certain level they get a £25,000 pound bonus, not that it will make much of a dent in these two horses purchase price !

At Worcester today Waitonit 3.20 has been well supported in the betting, he comes here with a bit of a useful reputation.  His trainer Nigel Twiston- Davies likes to run his nicer types of bumper horses at the track, and I would expect him to be the one to beat.  At Southwell on the all weather tonight, it always pays to follow horses with previous form on the Fibresand , Queen Of Khalahari 7.45 should be difficult to beat again tonight.

 

 

 

 

9 October 2019

Ludlow looks to have had very little rain.  The ground looks good.  Two races already ran, with the third race not far off.  At Nottingham, where underfoot conditions are heavy , soft in places.  It will be testing ground.  At 1.25 I did like Moosmee, he ran well on soft ground on his debut, and the William Haggas horses usually improve a good deal for a run, Debs Delight and Asmund are his likely main dangers, unless one of the unraced runners is useful.  At Newcastle this evening, Red Line Alexander could have a decent chance in the 6.25, she ran well on debut, with expected improvement she should stay very well, the mile straight at Newcastle on the tapeta is a real test of stamina, which should be ok for the Simon Crisford trained juvenile.

I may do an update at around 4.30 pm.

8 October 2019

With the rain over the last few days, ground conditions on turf are going to be riding on the slow side.  At Catterick the racing has been abandoned.

I have been in London over the last few days, doing some media training with Racing Tv.  Myself and 5 other ex jockeys, one who is still currently riding.  It was really good to see how things work from behind the scenes, from all the different departments. We met quite a lot of the team for Racing Tv, all of them were very helpful, trying to make us feel at ease and giving us good advise on what goes on, and how the whole operation works.  So I have not managed to do an update until now.  With really testing ground at Leicester, I would not have recommended anything.  Chelmsford has quite a few races left this evening.  Poetic Legacy 8.10 has winning form at the track, if none the worse for quite a few quick runs, she has another strong chance of winning again.

More tomorrow.

6 October 2019

Heavy rain at Longchamp today, made the ground very testing.  Post race comments from John Gosden about the defeat of Enable, was mainly about how he thought that her usual finishing burst was not quite the same in the slow conditions.  She ran a gallant race to finish second, but the big strong five year old Waldgeist outstayed her in the latter stages of the race, to get on top well inside the final furlong.  He really finished off the race strongly, a good training performance by Andre Fabre.  I did not get involved in the race from a betting prospective, because of the ground, plus 4/6 about Enable was very short.  Hopefully we may get to see her race again, as connections stipulated that her owner would make the final decision on if it was her last race or not.

A few horses tomorrow of interest, hopefully the rain from France will not arrive.

5 October 2019

A good winner for my subscribers yesterday.  Caravan of Hope 4.20 Ascot was advised yesterday morning at 15/8, heavily backed into a shade of odds on, before a resolute victory under Ryan Moore.  With the 3.10 handicap running shortly, Bedouins Story would be my each way choice, priced at around 9/1, he has vastly improved for the fitting of cheek pieces.  Rip Orff is another who has a good chance in the race.  I may do an update in about 20 minutes.

 

3 October 2019

Fairly late post today.  I was looking at backing Imperium 4.55, but went against it as I thought he may have traffic problems with a large field, he flew in the last furlong to be second, but Luke Morris rode a good race on the winner, and stole the race by kicking about two furlongs from home.  Tonight’s cards at Wolverhampton and Chelmsford have a couple of races of interest.  The 6.30 should go the way of South Coast, she ran well last time, the extra trip today should suit, and a level track should be much better, she did not handle Epsom well when second.  I thought Poetic Legacy 8.10 Wolverhampton could be hard to beat, she drops in grade, although she has risen in the weights, but should still edge it in this low graded affair.

2 October 2019

Hopefully followers backed Total Commitment last night at Kempton, he finished off at 5/1, having drifted to 8/1 at one stage.  Tonight’s all weather cards has a couple of really nice types running at Newcastle.  Tsar 6.55 ran in a really good maiden at Newmarket about 8 weeks ago, he ran on from a mediocre position under tender handling that day.  He should be hard to beat, as well as Perfect Number 7.25, she won well on debut, having been hampered early on, I think she can beat New Angel again, even though she is 7lb worse off.  Sandy Steve 7.40 Kempton will probably like the return to the all weather surface today.  He was never happy at Brighton last time, but that can be forgiven, as Brighton is a very tricky track and a lot of horses just don’t act there.

More tomorrow.

 

1 October 2019

A late post today.  Couple of quiet days, and so far today I have not had a bet.  I may back Lyricist Voice 6.40 Kempton, he looks as though he can step forward from his good second about 6 weeks ago, he ran at the track on his last run, so that experience  is a positive,  his negative is stall 11, so I may just wait and maybe have a bet in running, as long as he gets a decent start.  Total Commitment 7.40 could well appreciate a return to the track, he is a course and distance winner, well drawn today, he is a bit of value at around 11/2.

Looking ahead to the weekend, all the headlines have  been about Enable, and can she win a third Prix D’de l’Arc De Triomphe on Sunday.  She must have a favourites chance, of main rivals, Japan has strong form, he is still improving and has won over the track, but he will need to step up again to win.  Ghaiyyath has to be considered as a live danger as well, he won his latest group 1 race by over 14 lengths.  The strength of the opposition was possibly nothing like Enable has faced this season, but the time was decent, and he won by a wide margin, so he could not do much more than he did.  The French have Waldgeist and Sottsass, both useful horses, of the two most fancied French,  Sottsass would be the one of them, I think has the edge, he could have more improvement left in him, he was very impressive when winning the French Derby, and should handle the likely soft ground ok.

More tomorrow.