Looking at the Plumpton card, where the ground is soft.  In the 2:00, The Tin Miner was a course winner recently, he has ran at the track on his last three runs, so knows it well, stays well, acts on the soft and his jockey won on him last time.  A lot of positives, he may not get a soft lead like last time, as Little Windmill likes to make the running, and has won at the tight Sussex track before, but I think The Tin Miner can defy his 9lb rise in the weights and win again.