Fair amount of rainfall forecast. At Ayr it will be a real slog, heavy ground, plus it is the third day of racing. The main race at the Scottish venue is the William Hill Ayr Gold Cup at 3:50. A usual open handicap, draw and being ok on the ground are essential, looking at the 25 that line up, it looks difficult. Interest betting only, Muntadab has form on all types of ground, is drawn in the middle, so has options. He would be my choice for a small EW bet at 12/1 (5places, bet365).
At Newbury where rain is forecast, Mirage Dancer 2:20 is a very good improving horse, his best form though has been on good or faster ground, so at 2/1 he will need to be as good on likely good to soft ground today, as this is a competitive race. A few improving 3 year olds in Young Rascal and Extra Elusive, plus last years winner Desert Encounter, he will handle the ground ok. I hope Mirage Dancer can defy his penalty and win.