24 March 2018

Today’s free tip is as follows:

Horse: Oistrakh Le Noir

Time: 2:40 Newbury

Current Odds: 6/4

A good winner last time at Market Rasen, he acts well on soft ground and has regular   Jockey Daryl Jacob riding again today.  This horse likes to get on with it, he made all last time, he can win this race, as I don’t think it is overly strong.  Of rivals, Mister Chow acts with give underfoot and could be dangerous, he travels well in his races.

I will update later today around 12.00 ŵith another possible horse that I could back.

22 March 2018

Update:

I am doing some travelling over the next few days, I will hopefully have a tip tomorrow, but on Sunday I am most of the day travelling so will have little time to do my usual routine, so that day I very much doubt I will have something.

Also over the next week or 10 days, I may be a bit quiet with tips.

The turf season starts tomorrow on the flat, I always try to be very selective over the first few weeks, as it’s a whole new year, and horses can of really developed and improved, as well as some three year olds who have won and been consistent at two, don’t train on at three , so best to play small stakes, especially on three year olds, who raced often as a two year old.  In the big handicap tomorrow at Doncaster , Fire Brigade has been heavily backed to favourite, it’s a race to watch for me, I do like a horse entered tomorrow at Doncaster, but will update tomorrow with something.

23 March 2018

Todays free tips are as follows:

Horse: Lord Napier

Time : 4:00 Sedgefield

Current Odds: 4/7

I have put this horse on as one to double with my selection at Lingfield, he won last time out at Ludlow, and can win this novice hurdle under his penalty.  Sean Bowen travels all the way north for the one ride. The double is around 6/1.

Horse: Whispering Sands

Time: 4:20 Lingfield

Current Odds: 7/2

This filly ran well on debut when third, she should be better for that run and stay the extra 2f today.  She has experience of the surface and track, and fitness of a recent run.  Of rivals, Mercers Troop could well be the main threat, he is a winner and rallied well that day when headed, African Jazz has a good pedigree, but starting over 1m 4f on debut, suggests he has not been the quickest at home, he could well be a horse to watch today, Natch is ungenuine, he has ability, it depends on what frame of mind he is in, Artarmon could be dangerous, he has shown he has some talent, and should be right in the mix.

22 March 2018

Update: 7.57 pm

If you backed Jungle Room who just finished third at Chelmsford. An interesting ride !! I did think that the horse looked to me as though he was given a very tender ride, he made up a lot of ground in the straight , having been last as they turned into the straight with 2 furlongs to go, watch this horse in the future, I would not be surprised if the stewards look at the jockeys riding.  Kion the one I said he had toto beat, won quite well, I did have a saver on him when he drifted to 9/4.  The horse I was going to back in the later race looks to me as though its better watched than backing, more tomorrow.

22 March 2018

I was disappointed with both jockeys last night who rode Warburton and Mandalayan at Kempton. I thought Warburton should definitely of won, he was beaten a head, his jockey William Buick did not take advantage of a good start and a good draw in the early part of the race, Adam Kirby on the winner, rode a good race to win, he is a very good rider, his weight issues are his biggest problem as a jockey. For me William Buick is slightly over rated, he makes a fair few of mistakes, including last night !

As for today, it looks a bit difficult at a lot of the meetings, soon the turf season gets under way on the flat, hopefully the weather will get better as well.

Todays Free tip is follows:

Horse: Jungle Room

Time: 7:45 Chelmsford

Current Odds: Evens ( Without fav)

I have backed this horse without the favourite, he showed promise last year and looked like a horse to follow as he gets older, he has plenty of pace for 6f, and I think he has Kion to beat and he wins, I just thought without Kion in the bet , evens was the way to go. Of rivals, Kion is out of the equation, so Kodaic  Express looks the main threat, Pesky Wabbit is an unknown , and Jaalbat could be more of a threat.

I will very likely do a late update this evening after my selection runs, with a horse in a late race that is of interest.

21 March 2018

I am still keen on Warburton 6.45 Kempton, he is still around 6/4 with most firms, their has been money for Mozzafiato in the race, he is around 3/1, he is obviously expected to improve a lot from his debut run.  I am going to back another horse at Kempton.

Horse: Mandalayan

Time: 6.15 Kempton

Current Odds: 9/4

This horse has a penalty for a win last time, I think he will beat Dark Crocodile again, he was second when they met last time.  A decent draw and the same jockey who rode him when he won is a good stat, plus he won going away last time, he really quickened up well to win that day, with a good bit of improvement he can follow up today.  Of rivals, West Wing is having his first run, from a yard that do not have them fully tuned up on debut, he is the unknown quantity, I think he will be in the mix, but Dark Crocodile could be the one to give Mandalayan the most to do, although I can’t see him beating my selection.

 

 

19 March 2018

Really good day today, the double I advised, saw Good Boy Bobby winning at Wetherby and Velvet Vision win at Newcastle, she drifted to 11/2, a fantastic price as the double also paid almost 9/1 !

I am advising a horse that runs tomorrow, it’s again on the all weather surface, so no real ground changes to worry about.

Wednesdays tip is as follows:

Horse: Warburton

Time: 6:45 Kempton

Current Odds: 13/8

This horse drops back to 1 mile tomorrow, he ran over 9f plus on debut, he was fancied to go close that day, and although he ran well, I think he could well relish the trip of 1 mile.  He is well drawn, and I would think will be ridden handy to the lead, he should be good enough to win tomorrow.  Of rivals, Intense Pleasure has shown fair form, he was a fair second last time, beaten by a useful horse that day, he looks the main threat, Passing Clouds is one that has shown form at the track, he is better than his last run, which was a tame effort.

I will do an update tomorrow around 11am, possibly a horse running that could be worth an investment.

20 March 2018

My selection Velvet Vision at Newcastle is still around 2/1 with most firms, hopefully she can do the business.

Another horse I have doubled her with is:

Horse: Good Boy Bobby

Time: 5:15 Wetherby

Current Odds:8/15

I would not normally back this horse because of the price, but I have put him in a double   as well as backing Velvet Vision on her own, it makes it almost a 4/1 double.  I think this horse is a penalty kick, he tends to pull hard, which is the only concern, as his form is solid,  and he should win this before possibly having a crack at the good bumper races at Aintree or Punchestown, he has looked well above average in his three runs, slight below par last time, where he came from a long way back to be fourth in very testing ground, although it was a good race that day, this is a big drop in class.

 

 

 

19 March 2018

Good winner earlier today, Beautiful Morning advised at evens was heavily backed into 4/6, she won by only a head, but was well on top at the line.

I am putiing a tip on this evening, it is on the all weather surface at Newcastle, so ground changes are not a major concern.

Tuesdays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Velvet Vision

Time: 6:05 Newcastle

Current Odds: 9/4 ( Corals, Bet 365)

I thought this filly ran really well on debut when second  at the track over 1 mile.  She should be ok with the extra 2f tomorrow, as she was running on well on her last run.  Her trainer does not have his horses fully tuned on debut, I think she will improve a lot for that run, and take all the beating tomorrow.  Her jockey Paul Mulrennan rode her last time, so will know what to expect of her, he was very easy on her on debut, which is important for any horse having their first run, they need to have a good experience. She can win this race.  Of rivals, Bobby K has experience, is a winner and ran well last time, at the weights I think my selection will be too good, Arch Gold comes from a strong yard, and can improve from his last run, he has a chance of being in the mix.

I will do an update tomorrow before 11am, as I could well have another horse worth backing.

19 March 2018

Only Lingfield goes ahead on the all weather track today.  Snow falling here in Guernsey, it’s very light.

Todays Free tip is as follows:

Horse: Beautiful Morning

Time: 3:55 Lingfield

Current Odds: Evens

A good winner twice already. I think this filly can win again, she has a 9lb penalty which is eased by her riders 5lb claim, she is normally ridden from a hold up position, so hopefully her rider can get a bit of cover in this small field and finish the race off strongly as she has done in her last two runs.  Of rivals, Sportswriter is the only real danger I think, he ran well last time, he has to run to a high 80’s mark to win,  he could well end up in that bracket, but my selection is also still improving , her form is much better than his on what they have shown so far.