2 July 2017

No Tip today.

Race to watch:

A couple of horses running that look potentially useful prospects, slight concern is they have not ran for a while.  Valcartier looked very useful when winning his maiden in April, he runs today 2:40 Windsor, this horse could be well handicapped, and the 7/4 he is generally trading at, looks fair.  I will wait and see how the market goes, as a couple of his opponents are dangers, and I hope he may ease in price.

Ride of the weekend:

This has to go to Seamie Heffernan, for his ride yesterday on Capri in the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby.  A very good race with the first three home passing the line together.  Capri rallied to win by a neck, after looking as though he would be passed by both Wings of Eagles and the late closer Cracksman, Seamie never looks flustered when riding, he is very cool.

Ryan Moore had the pick of the Ballydoyle horses in this Group 1 event, with Seamie riding what appeared to be the lesser fancied of Aiden O’Brians more fancied two in the betting, of his five runners in this race, Capri was given an excellent ride to win.  Seamie was seen at his best recently on Idaho when winning a Group 2 race at Ascot, and the Ballydoyle trainers praise was that Seamie is a world class jockey.  Once again the Ballydoyle band wagon rolls on.

1 July 2017

Today’s free tip is as follows:

Horse: Don’t Touch

Time: 2:25

Current Odds: 7/2

Analysis of the race as follows:

This horse has won on a Tapeta surface before, it was at Wolverhampton, but has proved he acts on the surface.  He is the highest rated horse in the race, and ran well in Ireland last time over 7f.

The majority of his opponents have yet to prove themselves on an all weather surface, so at 7/2 , I see a bit of value.  Tony Hamilton knows the horse well, he has won on him numerous times before, so that is a plus. I am playing smaller than normal today,  as all weather racing I find slightly more difficult !

Cautious betting on grass at the moment advised, as the rain over the last few days has caused some big priced winners, and they are the most difficult to find!

I do fancy Wings Of Eagles in the Irish Derby today, but the ground is a concern, so I will go smaller with my bet, if backing him, I will watch a few races at the Curragh. And try and assess how soft the ground is, as the Derby is not until 5:20.