22 May 2017

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Forever Field

Time: 4.00 Towcester

Current Odds: 4/5

Analysis of the race:

Forever Field ran a good race at Kempton on May 1st, he jumped well in the main and his jockey today Nico De Boinville was in the saddle at Kempton, as is the case today.  I understand the sun is currently out at Towcester, which is a plus, this horse does not want ground on the soft side of todays going description (Good, Good to Soft in Places).

The obvious danger is Midnight Shot, he won recently at Towcester, he jumped well and made all the running.  My main reason for going with Forever Field is he is getting 7lb from the danger, although Mr J Nailor will take 7lb off the back of Midnight Shot, but the rider lacks experience, he has not ridden much under rules over the last two weeks and that is why I think Forever Field will win.

21 May 2017

Todays Free Tips as follows:

Horse: Quick Pick

Time: 5.00 Market Rasen

Current Odds: 5/4

Analysis of the race:

Quick Pick ran a solid race last time when second in a bumper at Warwick, he was denied a clear passage that day but still managed to be a decent second, with the third horse winning its next race at Exeter by over 4l.

Bumper form can be quite difficult to work out ,as a majority of these young National Hunt horses are gaining  an education before racing over obstacles.

I think Quick Pick can win today, with the likely danger being Brecon Hill, he has been running well and is now with Sally Haynes.  I believe she has taken out a temporary license due to the sad death of her partner Alan Swinbank, who had Brecon Hill under his care.

Ride of the week:

Hawkbill was given a good ride to win yesterday at Newbury, this classy horse was allowed to dictate matters from the front under William Buick, with Buick getting the fractions right in rain softened ground.  It was a masterful ride by the Godolphin jockey and I was pleased to see this horse win for my former work colleague, trainer Charlie Appleby.

Yesterdays Tip:

My EW advised bet on Somehow yesterday was just out of the frame in 4th, she was not quite good enough,and will probably appreciate a step up in trip judging on yesterdays fair effort.  I did think Ribchester was a big danger, and it was a good performance by the Richard Fahey trained colt to win.

Update:

Quick Pick is a non runner at Market Rasen today.

 

 

20 May

Today’s free tip is as follows:

Horse: Somehow (each way)

Time: 3:30 Newbury

Current Odds: 7/1

Analysis of the race:

Somehow has been in good form in 2017, winning a Group 2 over 9f on her latest start. I think the drop back to a mile today should be within her compass.  The Group 1 Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes is always a very high class race to try and win, as is the case today for Somehow, but I think she is good value each way at 7/1, a number of her rivals have questions to answer, the majority have not run this year and Somehow may have a slight advantage fitness wise.  Her main danger I believe is the probable favourite Ribchester, he has high class form in Group races and has form on a soft surface, he ran a solid race at Meydan in March.

19 May

Today’s free tip as follows:

Name: Ancient Astronaut

Time: 5:30 Newmarket

Current Odds: 13/8

Analysis of the race:

Ancient Astronaut won last time over 6f at Thirsk.  Jason Hart can not ride today as it is an apprentice race, David Egan takes over and is riding very well at present, he is probably the most experienced rider in the race, and this young boy rides very well.

The ground at Newmarket is officially soft at the moment, I don’t think this will hinder the selection too much as he has form on a soft surface and won on good to soft as a two year old.  I think this horse will be hard to beat.

18 May 2017

Todays free tip as follows: No bet today !

Due to the rain across most parts of the UK and beyond over the last day or so, I think it is wise to leave the betting for today, there are numerous horses that have been withdrawn today, majority due to the rain softened ground.

 

 

 

17 May 2017

horse racing 3

Todays free tip as follows:

Name: Follow The Bear

Race: 4.15 Worcester

Current odds: 11/10

Analysis of the race:

Follow the Bear won well last time at Kempton, he made the running and although possibly having the run of the race, he stayed on well to win despite a last flight blunder. One note of caution is the weather, although this horse has form on soft ground he probably prefers good ground.  I am keeping eye on the weather and will watch a few races from Worcester before having a bet, just to make sure its not too testing.  Currently 11/10 is value.

Update: It is raining at Worcester, I’m going to half my bet on Follow the Bear, if he runs his trainer must feel he will handle the ground!

Update 2: Follow the Bear is a non-runner

 

 

16 May 2017

Todays free tip

Name: The Doorman (keep eye on  the weather)

Race: 3.20 Sedgefield

Analysis of the race:

The Doorman won well last time at Carlisle, he does not want too much rain, so wait before you back this horse.  I think he will win if the rain stays away.  The others in the race have not shown much form of late, the horse of Neil Mulholland’s Oscar’s Boss looks the obvious danger and he has cheekpieces on today for the first time, as his last run was very poor at Warwick.

Round up of last few days:

We had some nice tip’s win last week 3 winners from 4, with Gin in the Inn finishing second beaten a short head.  Condaw Banker the tip yesterday had every chance when making an error at the 3rd last and then a worse error at the second last at Kempton, losing any chance he had of winning.

15 May 2017

Today’s free tip: Clondaw Banker

Race: 3:05 Kempton

Current odds: 9/4

Analysis of the race:

Clondaw Banker has ran well at Kempton recently over fences.  He is also a course winner of a bumper, so likes going right handed. Nicky Henderson has his horses in good form at present, plus this horse is well handicapped on his hurdle form.  I think this horse can win today, as long as we don’t get too much rain !

14 May 2017

No Tip today – I don’t see anything that I am going to have an interest on.

Analysis of week past as follows:

Good week betting  with the May Chester meeting always being very informative for future big races for the rest of the season.  I think the horse to follow from Chester could be Enable, she won very well and the first two pulled clear of some smart fillies, which is always a good sign.  Enable will probably be going for one of the top fillies races, maybe the Oaks, although John Gosden has a number of decent fillies to choose from.

Ride of the week:

Ryan Moore on Deauville in the sporting bet.com Huxley Stakes, brilliant ride, got the horse in a nice rhythm in front, always a good position to be in on the tight turns of Chester.  He got a breather into the horse about 3 furlongs out, before kicking for home.  Poets Word ran a very good race in second and it would be interesting to see these two horses meet again, possibly at the Royal Ascot meeting.

13 May 2017

Todays free tip:

Horse: Oh This is Us

Meeting: Haydock

Time: 3.45

Current odds: 2/1

Analysis of race:

Oh This Is Us has been running well over distances from 7f-1m recently, he ran well over 7f at Haydock last time.  I hope that they go decent gallop as he likes to come from off the pace.  Keep an eye out for more rain, as if the going goes to good-to-soft or worse I will not be having a bet, as with a track that has had watering the ground can become very false. Win bet if weather stays dry!