Shade unlucky with Ghadaayer yesterday, she was beaten only a head.  I still think this filly is quite well handicapped, she will win more races.

Todays free tip is as follows:

Horse:  Playful Sound

Time:  4:20 Nottingham

Current odds:  13/8

 

Race Analyis as follows:

 

Playful Sound won a competitive handicap last time at Newmarket.  Today she runs in a listed race and with the excellent Ryan Moore on top I think she can win again today.

Update:

Horse My Renaissance

Time:  4:40 Cartmel

Current Odds:   7/1 EW

I am going to back this horse, as I have analysed the race and think this horse can run a big race.

 

Todays Free Tip as follows:

Horse:  Ghadaayer

Time:  7.40 Wolverhampton

Current Odds:  6/5

Analysis of the race as follows:

Ghadaayer won fairly cosily last time at Catterick on turf.  The second horse that day has since won and franked the form.  I believe that this filly could be quite well handicapped, she has run well on an all weather surface, so I think at 6/5, although short odds, she represents a bit of value and is worth a bet.

Good day yesterday with my nap Winter 4/5 (advised) winning very easily by over 4l.   Heavily backed into 8/13, she proved she is a top class filly.

With heavy rain at Windsor overnight I am not having a bet today, so NO tip today.

Apologies for late post as I have been travelling.

Today’s free tip is as follows:

Horse:  Winter

Time:  3:05 Curragh

Current Odds:  4/5

Winter is trading around 4/5.  I think this is value as long as we do not have a deluge of rain.  She was very impressive at Newmarket recently when winning the English 1,000 gns.  Aiden O’Brian is a trainer who keeps his horses in great shape, especially the Group horses in his stable, which is numerous.

She is a nap if it stays dry.

Today’s free tip is as follows:

Horse:  Private Mission

Time:  2:55 Haydock

Current Odds: 8/1

Analysis of the race as follows:

Private Mission won over 7f at Leicester last time, he was ridden by Adam Kirby that day who rode him very well to almost make all the running.  Today he has a good 3 lb claimer on him.  Hopefully he can get a nice position from his 10 stall and keep handy and out of trouble.  This is a very competitive 1 mile handicap but I think Private Mission will stay the extra furlong and at 8/1 there is a bit of value, an each way bet is my advise.

 

Today’s Tips are as follows:

Horse:  Thomas Cranmer

Time:  7:40 Mussleburgh

Current Odds:  9/4

Analysis of the race:

This horse won well last time over course and distance, he is a typical Mark Johnston  type of improving 3 year old.  He will have to step up from last time as he is taking on older horses who are seasoned handicapper’s.  Glengarry is the main threat I believe,  but I will be playing if Thomas Cranmer remains at 7/4 or above !

Horse:  Cheerfilly

Time:  7:10″Mussleburgh

Current Odds: 6/5

Ran very well last time at Chester, she held every chance that day and with normal improvement will be too good for her opponents today, very shrewd stable who like a gamble.

Yesterday on the update I said Nezwaah was a penalty kick at Ayr 5.20 – she won very easily and I backed her although she was short odds, she was value judging by the way she won!

Today is very difficult, I am not going to advise any horse to back based on that reason.  I have no stand out horses that I can see, lots with chances, but too many dangers to have a good bet.

I will watch racing and may well make an investment, possibly at Sandown tonight, will try and update if I think  anyhting worth mentioning.

Round up:

Yesterday was a good day with New Agenda winning, 4/6 advised, he won by 19l and was heavily supported into 1/4. He proved value at 4/6, as advised, any winner is a good price!

Please look for my updates, yesterday I updated with Dragon’s Voice  an 8/1 winner at Nottingham, sometimes I don’t decide until very late what to back, it is always prudent to wait if you have an element of doubt about something, especially when gambling, so please have a look for updates if they don’t come through as an email, if you are following my tip’s.

Todays Free Tip is as follows:

Horse: Hello Bertie

Time: 8.50 Southwell

Current Odds: 13/8

Hello Bertie ran a very good race on debut at Perth last month, he finished his race off well and was beaten by two useful more experienced rivals that day.  With normal progression I think he has a good chance of winning today, jockey Brian Hughes is riding very well and his trainer is a shrewd operator.  I think he represents value at 13/8 or thereabout’s.

NB: I may well have an Update later so keep checking for that !

Update:

Nezwaah looks a penalty kick 5:20Ayr. She is short price at  4/6 or around that, she will be very hard to beat.

Today’s free tips are as follows:

Horse: Black Bess

Time: 3:20 Brighton

Current Odds: Evens

3 runner fields can be quite tricky events, I am going to back Black Bess as she has shown the best level of form of late, she won last time and has a small weight raise.  The two other fillies in the race have not been in the best of form of late and I find it difficult to fancy either of them.

Horse: New Agenda

Time: 5:35 Huntingdon

Current Odds: 4/6

I think you have to look if there is value when having a bet, 4/6 is skinny odds, but this is a penalty kick for New Agenda.

Update:

I have had a good message for Dragons Voice in 4;30 Nottingham, I hope you can get this before race time

 

 

 

 

 

Round up of previous week:

Nice winner in the week with The Doorman,  hit the crossbar recently with Agent Astronaut 2nd and Forever Friend 2nd today.  I try to look at the positive side when horses I fancy run very close to winning, as it is the small things that happen during a race that can make the difference between winning and losing.  I think Somehow (advised EW at 7/1) will win another Group race or two before the end of the year, probably the step back to 1m in a Group 1, was just beyond her, she never travelled as comfortably as usual, but still ran well to be only 3/4L behind the 3rd horse in finishing 4th.

Today’s tip Forever Friend ran a fair 2nd in the Novice Chase at Towcester, he made a couple of jumping mistake’s, which cost him.  The winner, who I thought was a big threat, jumped very well and I was impressed with the rider Mr J Nailor, he was excellent value for his 7lb riders allowance. Don’t give up on Forever Friend, he will win his races over fences.

With the recent rain, over the majority of the country there has been a number of big priced winners over the last week or so, this evening Perfect Pasture being a prime example by winning the Listed 6f sprint at Windsor at 25/1 for the shrewd Mick Easterby, who has his horses in fine form.